Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (La Plata)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Gimnasia La Plata		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.77	3.2	5
	1.78	3.25	5.1
	1.86	3.25	4.8
	1.76	3.32	5.54
	1.75	3.36	5.5	Watch
	1.78	3.25	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)	3.3 ↑ (3.24)	5.18 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnasia La Plata
53.2%

Draw
28.6%

Sarmiento de Junín
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29.1%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

28.5%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gimnasia La Plata: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Insfran N. (G) 15. Pintado J. 4. Morales L. (C) 6. Suso G. 14. Silva Torrejon P. 39. Di Biasi F. 5. Fernandez M. 7. Piedrahita A. 19. Castro L. 38. Panaro M. 30. Castillo R.	42. Acosta L. (G) 44. Orihuela R. 14. Roncaglia F. 2. Insaurralde J. 39. Godoy J. 28. Gho J. 25. Villalba C. 23. Gimenez E. 22. Burgoa V. 7. Magnin P. 18. Morales I.
Substitutes
28. Corbalan F. 36. Garayalde N. 20. Giampaoli R. 1. Ingolotti L. (G) 9. Jan Hurtado 29. Mammini I. 34. Mamut L. 22. Melluso M. 24. Merlo J. 93. Moreno J. 25. Sosa A. 33. Villalba J.	12. Ayala T. (G) 10. Carabajal G. 20. Frias F. 5. Garcia M. 31. Guiacobini T. 40. Marquez B. 36. Morales S. 8. Paradela F. 34. Seyral A. 15. Suhr L. 17. Vallejos J. 21. Vigo A.
Coaches
Flores D.	Sanguinetti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Di Biasi F. 🟨,
7', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
21', Villalba C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Suso G. 🟥,
56', Villalba C. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
56', Burgoa V. ↓, Suhr L. ↑,
57', Castro L. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
57', Panaro M. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
58', Fernandez M. ↓, Garayalde N. ↑,
58', Piedrahita A. ↓, Jan Hurtado ↑,
64', Magnin P. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
66', Roncaglia F. 🟨,
72', Gimenez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
77', Paradela F. 🟨,
87', Morales L. ↓, Giampaoli R. ↑,
88', Insfran N. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Gimnasia La Plata is a favorite.

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Briasco N. (Injury) De Blasis P. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Martinez E. (Knee Injury) Merlini B. (Muscle Injury) Torres F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sarmiento: Diaz G. (Inactive) Rosales M. (Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gimnasia La Plata won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:7 (average 0.8:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnasia La Plata won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.25	Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Unión Santa Fe - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Tucumán - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
17.02.25	Gimnasia La Plata - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWW
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1
27.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:0
28.08.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
14.04.22	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:3
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.10.21	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
03.05.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.03.17	Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0

Upcoming Matches