The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gimnasia La Plata 58.8%
Draw 23.9%
Sarmiento de Junín 17.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.8%
27.4%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
26.8%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia La Plata's performance.
Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
16.7%
16.7%
Gimnasia La Plata - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Castillo H. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 13. German Conti 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 18. Seoane M. 5. Miramon I. 17. Janson L. 8. Fernandez N. (C) 32. Torres M. 29. Auzmendi A.
12. Ayala T. (G) 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 8. Salle S. 16. Martinez M. 15. Zabala C. 21. Mavilla J. 19. Contrera J. 27. Marabel J. 24. Herrera J.
Substitutes
33. Aguiar P. 35. Cortazzo J. 39. Di Biasi F. 4. Giampaoli R. 23. Insfran N. (G) 16. Max A. 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 10. Schelotto N. 26. Torres F. 34. Troncoso L. 9. Zalazar M.
1. Arboleda I. (G) 26. Arismendi Y. 6. Arturia G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 20. Gimenez U. 11. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 77. Pasquini N. 10. Renteria J. 29. Santamaria T.
Coaches
Pereyra A.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Contrera J. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ⚽,
45', Salle S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Herrera J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
46', Salle S. ↓, Gimenez U. ↑,
46', Contrera J. ↓, Renteria J. ↑,
60', Mavilla J. 🟨,
61', Renteria J. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
66', Torres M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
67', German Conti 🟨,
74', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽,
81', Fernandez N. ↓, Di Biasi F. ↑,
81', Seoane M. ↓, Schelotto N. ↑,
87', Janson L. ↓, Troncoso L. ↑,
87', Martinez M. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
89', Gimenez E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Gimnasia La Plata could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Gimnasia La Plata is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Gimnasia La Plata: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Di Biasi F.
(Knee Injury)
Errecalde G.
(Muscle Injury)
Kadijevic J.
(Inactive)
Mammini I.
(Knee Injury)
Merlo J.
(Muscle Injury).
Confirmed absences for Sarmiento: Seyral A.
(Knee Injury)
Villalba C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Sarmiento: Diaz G.
(Inactive).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia La Plata has recorded 5 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:8 (averaging 0.9:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gimnasia La Plata against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.7 per game).
Argentina
Bolivia
Brazil
Chile
Colombia
Mexico
Peru
South America
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Castillo H. (G) 
Steimbach A. 
Martinez E. 
Marabel J. 
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