Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Inter Bogotá		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	4.20	3.50	1.83	Watch
	4.10	3.60	1.73
	4.90	3.70	1.68	Watch
	4.39	3.57	1.86
	5.47	3.83	1.61
	4.30	3.50	1.84
	4.41	3.48	1.77	Watch
	4.20	3.55	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.85)	3.59 ↑ (3.45)	1.76 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Bogotá
20.8%

Draw
26.1%

Atlético Nacional
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

27.2%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

27.2%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Bogotá than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farinez W. (G) 25. Julio R. 20. Castro J. 4. Rodas M. 26. Irazoque A. 13. Pernia M. 10. Bone F. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 5. Vasquez L. (C) 7. Sanguinetti F. 9. Duarte D.	34. Armani F. (C) 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 15. Reyes A. 16. Tesillo W. 33. Velasquez S. 19. Rengifo J. 31. Rios X. 22. Cabrera E. 99. Poveda I. 17. Arango C. 30. Parra Atehortua K.
Substitutes
23. Caballero J. 33. Catano K. (G) 11. Dajome C. 21. Garces Y. 19. Garcia Y. 16. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 24. Manjarres R. 14. Santamaria M. 2. Vivas C.	20. Casco M. 9. Morelos A. 7. Moreno M. 3. Parra N. 23. Rodriguez J. 6. Roman A. 29. Sarmiento A. 80. Zapata J. 44. Zea E. (G)
Coaches
Valino R.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Duarte D. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Poveda I. ⚽,
42', Julio R. 🟨,
45+2', Vasquez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Irazoque A. ↓, Vivas C. ↑,
46', Julio R. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
59', Rengifo J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
59', Arango C. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
59', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
60', Bone F. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Cabrera E. ⚽,
71', Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↓, Roman A. ↑,
77', Cabrera E. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
80', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Manjarres R. ↑,
80', Duarte D. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Garces Y. ⚽,
89', Roman A. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 3, Zapata J. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),

Preview

Inter Bogotá is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Atlético Nacional is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Inter Bogotá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Inter Bogotá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:12. (average 0.7:4).

Including home match between the teams, Inter Bogotá won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Nacional	11	7	2	2	21:10	11	23

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Nacional - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.4%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera A
12.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Llaneros SA	3:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	Real Cundinamarca - Inter Bogotá	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
06.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Rionegro Águilas	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Millonarios - Inter Bogotá	0:0 ✺
27.08.26	Inter Bogotá - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWTTT
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
13.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
07.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	1:5 ✺
26.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.05.26	Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá	7:1
09.05.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional	1:2
21.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Inter Bogotá	3:0

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