Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Round 4

Date: 2 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Toro S. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Inter Bogotá		Deportes Tolima

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.78	3.05	2.62	Watch
	2.88	3.1	2.73
	2.79	3.09	2.62	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.9	2.98	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3.27)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)	2.62 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Bogotá
33.3%

Draw
30.9%

Deportes Tolima
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	22.2%	44.4%

Inter Bogotá - Deportes Tolima Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Inter Bogotá will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Tolima: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Inter Bogotá (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Bogotá will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Bogotá (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farinez W. (G) 25. Julio R. 2. Vivas C. 26. Irazoque A. 16. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 5. Vasquez L. (C) 15. Quinones D. 11. Bone F. 18. Moncada D. 7. Sanguinetti F. 10. Parra Atehortua K.	22. Marquinez L. (G) 17. Arrieta C. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. 20. Hernandez J. 6. Trujillo C. 15. Nieto J. (C) 7. Gonzalez J. 24. Parra Osorio A. 28. Lopez E. 10. Torres Patino J. P.
Substitutes
23. Caballero J. 21. Caicedo B. 12. Carrasco J. (G) 20. Castro J. 19. Garcia Y. 24. Manjarres R. 4. Rodas M. 14. Santamaria M. 9. Valencia J.	23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 18. Florez K. 32. Guzman S. 27. Martinez M. 5. Mera J. 16. Reyes V. 29. Sanchez N. 8. Valencia E.
Coaches
Valino R.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Hernandez J. 🟥,
7', Irazoque A. 🟨,
35', Vivas C. 🟨,
45+2', Bone F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
59', Gonzalez J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
59', Nieto J. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
61', Moncada D. ↓, Caballero J. ↑,
61', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
66', Lopez E. 🟨,
74', Julio R. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
74', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
83', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,

Preview

Deportes Tolima has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Bogotá
Colombian Primera A
29.01.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Inter Bogotá	2:3 ✺
23.01.26	Inter Bogotá - Cúcuta Deportivo	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	América de Cali - Inter Bogotá	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWL
- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
27.01.26	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Deportes Tolima - Alianza Valledupar	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima	0:2 ✺
16.12.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
12.12.25	Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWLL

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