Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Tolima		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.05	3.10	3.50
	2.08	3.05	3.7	Watch
	2.07	3.21	4.24
	2.04	3.09	3.99	Watch
	2.04	3	4.15
	2.09	3.47	3.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.86)	3.19 ↓ (3.6)	3.87 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
45.9%

Draw
29.6%

Junior Barranquilla
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

25.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Junior Barranquilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ortega M. (G) 33. Mosquera J. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 7. Hurtado J. 6. Trujillo C. 32. Guzman S. 18. Florez K. 8. Valencia E. 9. Sandoval L.	30. Martinez J. (G) 5. Rivera D. 3. Herrera E. 98. Pena J. 26. Suarez Y. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. (C) 14. Rios J. 77. Barrios C. 20. Sarmiento J. 9. Paiva G. 18. Perez K.
Substitutes
17. Arrieta C. 23. Balanta Carabali G. J. (G) 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 71. Osorio Y. 24. Parra Osorio A. 19. Santiago J. 22. Urrutia S. 11. Valencia J.	12. Acosta Almeida J. L. (G) 25. Caicedo D. 21. Canchimbo J. 28. Celis G. 8. Chara Y. 99. Correa F. 15. Munive J. D. 24. Pestana J. 6. Villarreal D.
Coaches
Oliveros S.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Hurtado J. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Florez K. ⚽, Hurtado J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Trujillo C. ↓, Martinez Yepez H. E. ↑,
46', Angel Bernal F. S. ↓, Celis G. ↑,
46', Sarmiento J. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
49', Hurtado J. 🟨,
59', Valencia E. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
59', Florez K. ↓, Parra Osorio A. ↑,
67', Barrios C. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
68', Hurtado J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
72', Perez K. ↓, Caicedo D. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Paiva G. ⚽, Caicedo D. (A),
86', Sandoval L. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
90', Canchimbo J. 🟨,
90+1', Rios J. ↓, Munive J. D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.

Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Deportes Tolima is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.7:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Deportes Tolima	13	5	5	3	15:13	2	20
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 24.16%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Copa
21.07.26	Deportes Tolima - Deportes Quindío	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
26.05.26	Universitario de Deportes - Deportes Tolima	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportes Tolima	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Tolima	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
16.05.26	Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLLL
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Copa
22.07.26	Junior Barranquilla - Barranquilla	2:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.06.26	Atlético Nacional - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
02.06.26	Junior Barranquilla - Atlético Nacional	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.05.26	Palmeiras - Junior Barranquilla	4:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
18.01.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima	0:2
16.12.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	0:1
12.12.25	Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima	3:0
05.10.25	Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima	0:1
19.06.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:0
31.05.25	Junior Barranquilla - Deportes Tolima	1:1
15.04.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	0:0

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