Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Referee: Ossa Orozco F. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Fortaleza CEIF		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	3.00	Watch
	2.37	3.10	2.80
	2.38	3.30	2.95	Watch
	2.56	3.16	3.02
	2.54	3.2	2.79	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.95
	2.45	3.26	3.06	Watch
	2.38	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)	2.94 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
38.5%

Draw
29.5%

Junior Barranquilla
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28.8%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

27.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Junior will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 16. Cajares J. 5. Medina Obando J. 6. Diaz Y. 2. Copete A. 28. Vivas S. 14. Pico L. (C) 32. Vazquez M. 8. Navarro S. 30. Solis J. 9. Herrera J.	1. Silveira M. (G) 98. Pena J. 5. Rivera D. 23. Ortiz P. 26. Suarez Y. 25. Caicedo D. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 28. Celis G. 88. Castrillon B. 29. Gutierrez T. (C) 19. Fydriszewski F.
Substitutes
22. Barragan M. (G) 15. Cuero S. 25. Garcia J. 13. Mejia B. 7. Montano I. 19. Pulicastro F. 3. Ramirez D. 24. Salas J. 27. Sinisterra J.	77. Barrios C. 8. Chara Y. 30. Martinez J. (G) 9. Paiva G. 14. Rios J. 7. Rivera H. 20. Sarmiento J. 38. Shmalbach A. 6. Villarreal D.
Coaches
Arias D.	Viera S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', Solis J. 🟥,
19', 0 - 1, Pena J. ⚽,
24', Copete A. 🟨,
26', 0 - 2, Gutierrez T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
48', 0 - 3, Caicedo D. ⚽, Suarez Y. (A),
52', 0 - 4, Fydriszewski F. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Vazquez M. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
54', Copete A. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
60', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Paiva G. ↑,
61', Herrera J. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
61', Vivas S. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
65', 1 - 4, Diaz Y. ⚽,
69', Caicedo D. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
69', Gutierrez T. ↓, Chara Y. ↑,
80', Navarro S. 🟨,
81', Navarro S. ↓, Mejia B. ↑,
83', Angel Bernal F. S. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
83', Pena J. ↓, Shmalbach A. ↑,
88', Cuero S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 14th and 20th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:7 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortaleza against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Junior: 0.79%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fortaleza	12	1	7	4	13:18	-5	10
17	Junior	11	2	3	6	16:20	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.9%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
11.09.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Boyacá Chicó - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLTL
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
12.09.26	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Junior Barranquilla - Jaguares de Córdoba	3:3 ✺
29.08.26	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	América de Cali - Junior Barranquilla	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
15.03.26	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1
08.11.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla	1:1
16.05.25	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1
17.08.24	Junior Barranquilla - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1
11.02.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla	2:0

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