The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Fortaleza CEIF 24.2%
Draw 29%
Deportes Tolima 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.8%
28.9%
41.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
29.4%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Tolima's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barlasina W. (G) 16. Cajares J. 6. Diaz Y. (C) 5. Medina Obando J. 15. Cuero S. 13. Mejia B. 28. Vivas S. 32. Vazquez M. 8. Navarro S. 25. Garcia J. 9. Herrera J.
1. Neto Volpi (G) 28. Lopez E. 3. Angulo J. 2. Angulo A. (C) 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 17. Arrieta C. 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 24. Parra Osorio A. 8. Valencia E. 20. Hernandez J. 15. Aguayo S.
Substitutes
2. Copete A. 7. Montano I. 35. Mosquera A. 14. Pico L. 19. Pulicastro F. 24. Salas J. 12. Santander C. (G) 27. Sinisterra J. 29. Wilke T.
32. Guzman S. 7. Hurtado J. 21. Ibarguen A. 13. Ortega M. (G) 4. Pedrozo D. 80. Rovira B. 10. Sanchez L. 29. Sanchez N. 9. Sandoval L.
Coaches
Arias D.
Oliveros S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
6', Diaz Y. 🟨,
10', Garcia J. 🟨,
27', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Diaz Y. (Own goal),
33', Vivas S. 🟨,
33', Mejia B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Hernandez J. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
46', Arrieta C. ↓, Rovira B. ↑,
46', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Guzman S. ↑,
47', Angulo J. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Herrera J. ⚽, Garcia J. (A),
56', Valencia E. 🟨,
64', Vazquez M. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
64', Vivas S. ↓, Montano I. ↑,
68', Valencia E. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
68', Aguayo S. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
71', Garcia J. ↓, Pico L. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Hurtado J. ⚽, Sandoval L. (A),
76', Montano I. 🟨,
77', Barbosa Gomez S. P. 🟨,
80', Mejia B. ↓, Pulicastro F. ↑,
80', Cuero S. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
84', Guzman S. 🟨,
90+2', Wilke T. 🟥,
90+5', Sandoval L. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 2, Navarro S. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 7th in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0.
Fortaleza is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Deportes Tolima have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportes Tolima may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Deportes Tolima is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 0.7:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fortaleza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Belarus
Colombia
Usa
Watch
#ad
Barlasina W. (G) 
Cajares J. 
Neto Volpi (G) 
Aguayo S. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
