Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Russia	Viju+ Sport
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Fortaleza CEIF		Millonarios

	1	X	2
	5.00	3.50	1.73	Watch
	4.50	3.50	1.70
	4.80	3.75	1.70	Watch
	4.34	3.82	1.78
	4.44	3.79	1.73	Watch
	4.25	3.70	1.74
	4.35	3.68	1.73
	4.50	3.60	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (4)	3.67 ↑ (3.4)	1.73 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
20.6%

Draw
25.4%

Millonarios
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.5%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

27.4%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 16th and 6th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 0.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Millonarios may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Millonarios has had a run of games away from home.

Bookmakers give the edge to Millonarios for this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:17 (averaging 1.1:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortaleza against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 3:7 goals (averaging 1:2.3 per game).

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Millonarios: 8.74%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Millonarios	13	5	6	2	18:11	7	21
16	Fortaleza	12	1	7	4	13:18	-5	10

Last Results with these Odds

Millonarios - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 49.04%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A
04.10.26	Deportivo Pasto - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Deportes Tolima	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Junior Barranquilla	1:4 ✺
11.09.26	Jaguares de Córdoba - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLTT
- Millonarios FC
Colombian Copa
03.10.26	Barranquilla - Millonarios	2:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
24.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.03.26	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:2
21.09.25	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	3:2
06.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	0:2
16.10.24	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	2:1
30.03.24	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	1:2
Colombian Copa
17.08.22	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	2:3
27.07.22	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0

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