The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Inter Miami 68.3%
Draw 16.7%
CF Montréal 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
19.4%
18.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
19.1%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Miami's performance.
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Miami that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
20%
20%
Inter Miami - CF Montréal Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Inter Miami will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
97. St.Clair D. (G) 17. Fray I. 5. Casemiro 37. Falcon M. 32. Allen N. 7. de Paul R. 42. Bright Y. 8. Segovia T. 10. Messi L. (C) 9. Suarez L. 19. Berterame G.
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 2. Neal J. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 8. Longstaff M. 6. Piette S. (C) 21. Herbers F. 18. Synchuk G. 9. Owusu P. 23. Streit N.
Substitutes
76. Abadia-Reda C. 22. Ayala D. 15. Caicedo F. 54. Delinois L. 4. Mura F. 56. Pinter D. 59. Plambeck P. 34. Rios R. (G) 88. Shaw A.
1. Breza S. (G) 16. Carmona W. 5. Craig B. 29. Escobar O. 22. Loturi V. 7. Pereira D. 14. Rios D. 10. Sanchez A. 17. Sealy D.
Coaches
Gonzalez K.
Eullaffroy P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Fray I. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Casemiro ⚽, Segovia T. (A),
35', Herbers F. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Herbers F. ⚽, Streit N. (A),
39', Streit N. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Petrasso L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (5 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, Messi L. ⚽,
59', Piette S. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
60', Synchuk G. ↓, Sealy D. ↑,
60', Herbers F. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
76', Segovia T. ↓, Shaw A. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Suarez L. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
83', 5 - 1, Messi L. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
84', Neal J. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
84', Streit N. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
86', Fray I. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
86', Allen N. ↓, Abadia-Reda C. ↑,
89', 6 - 1, Shaw A. ⚽,
90+6', 7 - 1, Messi L. ⚽,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 4.
Inter Miami is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Montreal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Montreal has had a series of home games.
In this match, Inter Miami is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Inter Miami: Allende T.
(Knee Injury)
Micael
(Injury)
There will not play in Montreal: Amaya F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Carmona W.
(Knee Injury)
Ceballos B.
(Yellow Cards)
Hidalgo B.
(Groin Injury)
Morales E.
(Toe Injury)
There are questionable in Inter Miami: Hall T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Synchuk G.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Inter Miami won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Inter Miami - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 62.48%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
CF Montréal - the odds 5.2 are the expected chance of winning is 18.14%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.