Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio León (León) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Valle J. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	19:00	FOX One, FOX Sports
Usa	21:00	SportsEngine Play


	Club León		Atlas

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.30	3.25	Watch
	2.20	3.30	3.10
	2.04	3.40	3.45	Watch
	2.28	3.50	3.33
	2.19	3.39	3.32	Watch
	2.20	3.45	3.25
	2.18	3.38	3.50	Watch
	2.20	3.30	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.95)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)	3.3 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
43.4%

Draw
28%

Atlas
28.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.2%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	35.7%	0%

Club León - Atlas Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for León: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - León (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. León (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garcia O. (G) 7. Moreno I. 3. Guevara J. 5. Vegas S. 26. Reyes S. 29. Rodriguez I. (C) 22. Santos S. 20. Echeverria R. 13. Arcila D. 11. Diaz I. 27. Cambindo D.	22. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Gustavo Ferrareis 28. Capasso M. 21. Schlegel R. 5. Rodriguez J. 6. Zaldivar E. 26. Rocha A. (C) 58. Gonzalez A. 23. Hernandez S. 11. Duk 8. Mmaee R.
Substitutes
19. Alvarado A. 25. Bellon P. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 4. Colula B. 16. Cortizo J. 1. Garcia Jordan (G) 18. Guerra E. 185. Mora C. 35. Valadez L. 33. Villegas A.	13. Aguirre G. 10. Esteves L. 181. Hernandez L. (G) 17. Lozano J. 203. Martin J. 4. Mora A. 15. Ramirez P. 27. Rios De Alba V. H. 192. Serrato J. 16. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Gandolfi J.	Cocca D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Duk ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Cambindo D. ⚽,
42', Cambindo D. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rodriguez J. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Gustavo Ferrareis (A),
55', Santos S. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
56', Diaz I. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
56', Arcila D. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
58', Gonzalez A. ↓, Esteves L. ↑,
64', Zaldivar E. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
73', 1 - 3, Rocha A. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Echeverria R. 🟨,
74', Echeverria R. ↓, Valadez L. ↑,
77', 2 - 3, Cortizo J. ⚽, Alvarado A. (A),
82', Moreno I. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
84', Capasso M. 🟨,
85', Rocha A. 🟨,
89', Duk ↓, Lozano J. ↑,
90+9', Alvarado A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 3.

León could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in León: Estrada A. (Broken Leg)

There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E. (Suspended) Serrato J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in León: Vegas S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:13. (average 1.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Club Leon	14	6	4	4	21:18	3	22
6	Atlas	13	6	3	4	21:23	-2	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
25.04.26	Toluca - Club León	4:1 ✺
21.04.26	Club León - Club América	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Club León - Juárez	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Puebla - Club León	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Club León - Atlas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWW
- Club Atlas
Mexican Liga MX
09.05.26	Cruz Azul - Atlas	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Atlas - Cruz Azul	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Club América - Atlas	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Atlas - Tigres UANL	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Santos Laguna - Atlas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
04.04.26	Club León - Atlas	2:0
22.10.25	Atlas - Club León	2:0
18.01.25	Atlas - Club León	1:2
23.10.24	Club León - Atlas	0:0
18.02.24	Atlas - Club León	0:1
24.10.23	Club León - Atlas	1:1
11.03.23	Atlas - Club León	0:1

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