Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX One, FOX Sports, VIX
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tijuana		Club León

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.40	4.33	Watch
	1.90	3.50	3.80
	1.86	3.65	3.80	Watch
	2.00	3.67	3.98
	1.91	3.75	3.81	Watch
	1.91	3.65	4.00
	1.85	3.48	4.66	Watch
	1.89	3.55	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.14)	3.58 ↓ (3.64)	4.04 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tijuana
50.1%

Draw
26.4%

Club León
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

26%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tijuana's performance.

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Club León might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	18.7%	12.5%

Tijuana - Club León Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). León will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tijuana: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tijuana (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Rodriguez A. (C) 3. Fernandez R. 12. Porozo J. 6. Gomez A. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 8. Tona I. 17. Arciga R. 20. Zapata A. 31. Padilla Y. 7. Preciado A. 9. El Ghezouani M.	23. Garcia O. (G) 4. Colula B. 14. Romana J. 3. Guevara J. 26. Reyes S. 29. Rodriguez I. (C) 16. Cortizo J. 20. Echeverria R. 13. Arcila D. 11. Diaz I. 19. Alvarado A.
Substitutes
19. Abreu D. 4. Bilbao U. 34. Boya F. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 188. Magallon A. 18. Mejia A. 10. Mora G. 197. Orduno J. 26. Perez A. 16. Vega A.	25. Bellon P. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 1. Garcia Jordan (G) 18. Guerra E. 203. Lara J. 185. Mora C. 7. Moreno I. 22. Santos S. 35. Valadez L. 5. Vegas S.
Coaches
Abreu S.	Gandolfi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Arcila D. 🟨,
43', Colula B. 🟨,
44', El Ghezouani M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Arcila D. ↓, Beltran Cruz F. ↑,
46', Zapata A. ↓, Mora G. ↑,
46', Alvarado A. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Mora G. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Arciga R. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
67', El Ghezouani M. ↓, Abreu D. ↑,
71', Echeverria R. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
71', Colula B. ↓, Valadez L. ↑,
79', Reyes S. ↓, Lara J. ↑,
81', Padilla Y. ↓, Mejia A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 3.

Tijuana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tijuana might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in León: Cambindo D. (Red Card) Estrada A. (Broken Leg)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tijuana won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Club Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Club León - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
16.07.26	Tijuana - Tigres UANL	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tijuana - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Cruz Azul - Tijuana	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Juárez - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.5 WTWTW
- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
17.07.26	Club León - Atlas	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Toluca - Club León	4:1 ✺
21.04.26	Club León - Club América	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Club León - Juárez	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Puebla - Club León	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
14.03.26	Club León - Tijuana	0:3
19.09.25	Tijuana - Club León	5:0
01.03.25	Club León - Tijuana	2:1
30.08.24	Tijuana - Club León	2:1
03.03.24	Tijuana - Club León	1:1
23.09.23	Club León - Tijuana	1:0
21.04.23	Tijuana - Club León	0:0

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