Match Info

Serie A - Round 27

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro) (Milan)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
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Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
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Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	Disney+
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World	Starzplay Sports app


	Inter Milan		Genoa

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.5	8	Watch
	1.32	5.5	9.25
	1.34	4.95	9.8	Watch
	1.35	5.3	9.83
	1.37	5.09	9.74	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8.5
	1.38	5.38	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.3)	5.22 ↓ (5.51)	9.2 ↓ (9.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
71.2%

Draw
18.4%

Genoa
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.2%

17.3%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1%

17.3%

9.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	5%	2.5%

Inter Milan - Genoa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Inter (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Inter (1.08) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Genoa (8.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2.5 - Genoa (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 12 - 75%). Genoa (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 25. Akanji M. 6. de Vrij S. 30. Carlos Augusto 11. Luis Henrique 23. Barella N. (C) 7. Zielinski P. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 14. Bonny A.	16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 5. Ostigard L. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 77. Ellertsson M. E. 32. Frendrup M. 17. Malinovskyi R. 3. Martin A. 8. Baldanzi T. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.
Substitutes
15. Acerbi F. 31. Bisseck Y. 20. Calhanoglu H. 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 2. Dumfries D. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 47. Lavelli M. 13. Martinez J. (G) 8. Sucic P.	4. Amorim 70. Cornet M. 74. Doucoure M. 21. Ekhator J. 18. Ekuban C. 10. Junior Messias 1. Leali N. (G) 73. Masini P. 14. Onana J. 20. Sabelli S. 31. Siegrist B. (G) 39. Sommariva D. (G) 13. Zatterstrom N.
Coaches
Chivu C.	De Rossi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
21', Mkhitaryan H. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Dimarco F. ⚽, Mkhitaryan H. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Malinovskyi R. ↓, Amorim ↑,
59', Thuram M. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
59', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Calhanoglu H. ↑,
60', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
66', Calhanoglu H. 🟨,
66', Colombo L. ↓, Ekhator J. ↑,
66', Baldanzi T. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
66', de Vrij S. ↓, Bisseck Y. ↑,
70', 2 - 0, Calhanoglu H. (Penalty Awarded),
76', Bonny A. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
76', Zielinski P. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
86', Martin A. ↓, Sabelli S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Genoa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inter is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Inter: Bastoni A. (Yellow Cards) Martinez L. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Genoa: Norton-Cuffy B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Calhanoglu H. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Genoa: Otoa S. (Inactive) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inter won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:12. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:1. (average 2.6:0.1).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45% Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
21.02.26	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.02.26	Bodø Glimt - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.02.26	Inter Milan - Juventus	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Genoa - Torino	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Cremonese - Genoa	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Genoa - Napoli	2:3 ✺
30.01.26	Lazio - Genoa	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Genoa - Bologna	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.12.25	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:2
22.02.25	Inter Milan - Genoa	1:0
17.08.24	Genoa - Inter Milan	2:2
04.03.24	Inter Milan - Genoa	2:1
29.12.23	Genoa - Inter Milan	1:1
25.02.22	Genoa - Inter Milan	0:0
21.08.21	Inter Milan - Genoa	4:0

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