Match Info

Serie A - Round 24

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Mapei Stadium – Città del Tricolore (Reggio Emilia)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
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Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab


	Sassuolo		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.44	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.47
	7.4	4.7	1.43	Watch
	8.03	4.77	1.44
	7.84	4.95	1.43	Watch
	6.5	4.4	1.4
	7.8	4.88	1.47
	7.5	4.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (6.29)	4.68 ↑ (4.49)	1.44 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassuolo
13.1%

Draw
20.4%

Inter Milan
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

21%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.5%

20.3%

66.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassuolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Inter Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	9.1%	86.4%

Sassuolo - Inter Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.25 - Sassuolo (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% – 96.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (20 of 20 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Sassuolo (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Inter (votes: 20 - 95.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Muric A. (G) 6. Walukiewicz S. 21. Idzes J. 80. Muharemovic T. 3. Doig J. 42. Thorstvedt K. 18. Matic N. 90. Kone I. 10. Berardi D. (C) 99. Pinamonti A. 45. Lauriente A.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 25. Akanji M. 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 8. Sucic P. 7. Zielinski P. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 9. Thuram M.
Substitutes
50. Bakola D. 11. Boloca D. 25. Coulibaly W. 20. Fadera A. 23. Garcia U. 44. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 24. Moro L. 8. Nzola M. 66. Pedro Felipe 19. Romagna F. 12. Satalino G. (G) 7. Volpato C. 40. Vranckx A. 16. Zacchi G. (G)	15. Acerbi F. 14. Bonny A. 30. Carlos Augusto 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 94. Esposito F. 16. Frattesi D. 41. Kamate I. 13. Martinez J. (G)
Coaches
Grosso F.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Bisseck Y. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Thuram M. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 3, Martinez L. ⚽,
54', 0 - 4, Akanji M. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
54', Matic N. 🟨,
54', Matic N. 🟨,
60', Berardi D. ↓, Coulibaly W. ↑,
60', Lauriente A. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
64', Zielinski P. ↓, Frattesi D. ↑,
64', Bastoni A. ↓, Darmian M. ↑,
71', Doig J. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
71', Pinamonti A. ↓, Nzola M. ↑,
71', Mkhitaryan H. ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
76', Thuram M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
76', Martinez L. ↓, Esposito F. ↑,
82', Dimarco F. 🟨,
89', 0 - 5, Luis Henrique ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 2.

Sassuolo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inter is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sassuolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Sassuolo: Boloca D. (Knee Injury) Cande F. (Knee Injury) Pieragnolo E. (Knee Injury) Turati S. (Illness)

There will not play in Inter: Barella N. (Muscle Injury) Calhanoglu H. (Calf Injury) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Inter: Darmian M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sassuolo won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sassuolo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 44.98% Sassuolo: 0.25%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Inter Milan - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.99%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie A
31.01.26	Pisa - Sassuolo	1:3 ✺
25.01.26	Sassuolo - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Napoli - Sassuolo	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Roma - Sassuolo	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL
- Inter Milan
Coppa Italia
04.02.26	Inter Milan - Torino	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Cremonese - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Borussia Dortmund - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.01.26	Inter Milan - Pisa	6:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Inter Milan - Arsenal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	2:1
04.05.24	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	1:0
27.09.23	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	1:2
13.05.23	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	4:2
Club Friendly
29.12.22	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	0:1
Italian Serie A
08.10.22	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	1:2
20.02.22	Inter Milan - Sassuolo	0:2

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