Match Info

Serie A - Round 26

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV, TLN, VIVA
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 4, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 8
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app


	Lecce		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.5	Watch
	8	4.5	1.42
	6.9	4.25	1.49	Watch
	8.3	4.4	1.47
	6.89	4.49	1.51	Watch
	7	3.9	1.44
	6.93	4.33	1.55
	8.5	4.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.38 ↓ (7.88)	4.3 ↓ (4.64)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lecce
13%

Draw
22.2%

Inter Milan
64.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

20.5%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

19.8%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	11.4%	82.9%

Lecce - Inter Milan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lecce (6.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Inter (3.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Inter Milan will win (29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Inter Milan will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lecce (votes: 1 - 20%). Inter (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Falcone W. (C) 17. Veiga D. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 29. Coulibaly L. 16. Gandelman O. 20. Ramadani Y. 50. Pierotti S. 99. Cheddira W. 23. Sottil R.	1. Sommer Y. (G) 31. Bisseck Y. 6. de Vrij S. (C) 95. Bastoni A. 11. Luis Henrique 16. Frattesi D. 7. Zielinski P. 8. Sucic P. 32. Dimarco F. 9. Thuram M. 94. Esposito F.
Substitutes
19. Banda L. 8. Fofana S. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 79. Ngom O. 13. Perez M. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 9. Stulic N.	15. Acerbi F. 25. Akanji M. 14. Bonny A. 30. Carlos Augusto 43. Cocchi M. 36. Darmian M. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 17. Diouf A. 57. Kaczmarski I. 13. Martinez J. (G) 22. Mkhitaryan H. 58. Topalovic L.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Chivu C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Gaspar K. ↓, Siebert J. ↑,
10', de Vrij S. 🟨,
17', Tiago Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', Gandelman O. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
60', Sottil R. ↓, Banda L. ↑,
60', Sucic P. ↓, Mkhitaryan H. ↑,
60', de Vrij S. ↓, Akanji M. ↑,
69', Thuram M. ↓, Bonny A. ↑,
69', Luis Henrique ↓, Diouf A. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Mkhitaryan H. ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, Akanji M. ⚽, Dimarco F. (A),
83', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
83', Coulibaly L. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
88', Bastoni A. 🟨,
88', Bastoni A. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.

Recent performances by Lecce have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inter is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Inter may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Inter is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Camarda F. (Injury)

There will not play in Inter: Barella N. (Yellow Cards) Calhanoglu H. (Yellow Cards) Dumfries D. (Ankle Injury) Martinez L. (Calf Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 2:22. (average 0.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.4:2.2).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Inter: 45% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15:8	7	13
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
16.02.26	Cagliari - Lecce	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Lecce - Udinese	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Torino - Lecce	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Lecce - Lazio	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Milan - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWLTL
- Inter Milan
UEFA Champions League
18.02.26	Bodø Glimt - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.02.26	Inter Milan - Juventus	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sassuolo - Inter Milan	0:5 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.26	Inter Milan - Torino	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Cremonese - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
14.01.26	Inter Milan - Lecce	1:0
26.01.25	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:4
24.08.24	Inter Milan - Lecce	2:0
25.02.24	Lecce - Inter Milan	0:4
23.12.23	Inter Milan - Lecce	2:0
05.03.23	Inter Milan - Lecce	2:0
13.08.22	Lecce - Inter Milan	1:2

Upcoming Matches