Match Info

Serie A - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
Hungary	Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	Shasha
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab


	Genoa		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.4	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.6
	3.2	2.92	2.52	Watch
	3.41	3	2.5
	3.34	3	2.41	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.4
	3.43	3.09	2.5
	3.33	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
29.5%

Draw
31.8%

Bologna
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

30.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

30.9%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	19.2%	65.4%

Genoa - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Bologna will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Bologna (1.35) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Genoa (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 3 - 30%). Bologna (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 32. Frendrup M. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 21. Ekhator J. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 16. Casale N. 14. Heggem T. 22. Lykogiannis C. 8. Freuler R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 11. Rowe J. 21. Odgaard J. 30. Dominguez B. 17. Immobile C.
Substitutes
70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 18. Ekuban C. 10. Junior Messias 42. Kumer Celik A. 1. Leali N. (G) 17. Malinovskyi R. 73. Masini P. 86. Nuredini J. 14. Onana J. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 13. Zatterstrom N.	10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 9. Castro S. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 5. Fauske Helland E. 2. Holm E. 6. Moro N. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 23. Sohm S. 41. Vitik M.
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Ferguson L. ⚽, Dominguez B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Otoa S. (Own goal),
55', Ekhator J. ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
56', Martin A. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
57', Skorupski L. 🟥,
61', Dominguez B. ↓, Ravaglia F. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Malinovskyi R. ⚽,
68', Immobile C. 🟨,
71', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
73', Rowe J. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
74', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
74', Odgaard J. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
74', Vasquez J. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
74', Immobile C. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
76', Ravaglia F. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Ekuban C. ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Junior Messias ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
90+6', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
90+7', Marcandalli A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Genoa: Ostigard L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Collarbone injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury) Miranda J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Muscle Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.25% Genoa: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3:10	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Genoa - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Milan - Genoa	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Genoa - Pisa	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTTL
- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Bologna - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Verona - Bologna	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Bologna - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1
24.05.25	Bologna - Genoa	1:3
19.10.24	Genoa - Bologna	2:2
24.05.24	Genoa - Bologna	2:0
05.01.24	Bologna - Genoa	1:1
21.05.22	Genoa - Bologna	0:1
21.09.21	Bologna - Genoa	2:2

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