Match Info

Serie A - Round 22

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3
Albania	15:00	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	11:00	Disney+
Armenia	18:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	01:00	beIN Connect
Austria	15:00	DAZN
Brazil	11:00	Disney+
Canada	09:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:00	Disney+
China	22:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:00	Disney+
Croatia	15:00	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	15:00	Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	15:00	DAZN France
Germany	15:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	16:00	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	22:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	15:00	Net4+
Indonesia	21:00	Vidio
Israel	16:00	Sport 4
Italy	15:00	215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	17:00	Shasha
Malta	15:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
New Zealand	03:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	15:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:00	VG+
Peru	09:00	Disney+
Poland	15:00	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	16:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	17:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	17:00	STC TV
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 1
South Korea	23:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	15:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	15:00	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	21:00	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	15:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	17:00	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
Ukraine	16:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	14:00	DAZN
Uruguay	11:00	Disney+
Usa	09:00	DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	10:00	Disney+
Vietnam	21:00	TV 360, VTVcab


	Genoa		Bologna

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.4	Watch
	2.87	3.1	2.6
	3.2	2.92	2.52	Watch
	3.41	3	2.5
	3.34	3	2.41	Watch
	3.1	2.88	2.4
	3.43	3.09	2.5
	3.33	3	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.13)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genoa
29.5%

Draw
31.8%

Bologna
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

30.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

30.6%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	19.2%	65.4%

Genoa - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Bologna will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 47.1% – 83.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Bologna (1.35) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.5 - Genoa (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Genoa (votes: 3 - 30%). Bologna (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Bijlow J. (G) 27. Marcandalli A. 34. Otoa S. 22. Vasquez J. (C) 15. Norton-Cuffy B. 32. Frendrup M. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 21. Ekhator J. 3. Martin A. 9. Vitinha 29. Colombo L.	1. Skorupski L. (G) 20. Zortea N. 16. Casale N. 14. Heggem T. 22. Lykogiannis C. 8. Freuler R. 19. Ferguson L. (C) 11. Rowe J. 21. Odgaard J. 30. Dominguez B. 17. Immobile C.
Substitutes
70. Cornet M. 30. Cuenca Martinez H. F. 18. Ekuban C. 10. Junior Messias 42. Kumer Celik A. 1. Leali N. (G) 17. Malinovskyi R. 73. Masini P. 86. Nuredini J. 14. Onana J. 20. Sabelli S. 39. Sommariva D. (G) 2. Thorsby M. 13. Zatterstrom N.	10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 9. Castro S. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 5. Fauske Helland E. 2. Holm E. 6. Moro N. 7. Orsolini R. 25. Pessina M. (G) 4. Pobega T. 13. Ravaglia F. (G) 23. Sohm S. 41. Vitik M.
Coaches
De Rossi D.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Ferguson L. ⚽, Dominguez B. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Otoa S. (Own goal),
55', Ekhator J. ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
56', Martin A. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
57', Skorupski L. 🟥,
61', Dominguez B. ↓, Ravaglia F. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Malinovskyi R. ⚽,
68', Immobile C. 🟨,
71', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
73', Rowe J. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
74', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
74', Odgaard J. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
74', Vasquez J. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
74', Immobile C. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
76', Ravaglia F. 🟨,
78', 2 - 2, Ekuban C. ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
90+1', 3 - 2, Junior Messias ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
90+6', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
90+7', Marcandalli A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Genoa: Ostigard L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F. (Collarbone injury) Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Lucumi J. (Injury) Miranda J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Genoa: Ekuban C. (Muscle Injury) Gronbaek A. (Injury) Siegrist B. (Finger Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Bologna	9	3	2	4	12:12	0	11
13	Genoa	9	3	1	5	8:13	-5	10

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Bologna: 0.08% Genoa: 0.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Parma - Genoa	0:0 ✺
12.01.26	Genoa - Cagliari	3:0 ✺
08.01.26	Milan - Genoa	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Genoa - Pisa	1:1 ✺
29.12.25	Roma - Genoa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTTL
- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Bologna - Celtic	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
18.01.26	Bologna - Fiorentina	1:2 ✺
15.01.26	Verona - Bologna	2:3 ✺
10.01.26	Como - Bologna	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Bologna - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Bologna - Genoa	2:1
24.05.25	Bologna - Genoa	1:3
19.10.24	Genoa - Bologna	2:2
24.05.24	Genoa - Bologna	2:0
05.01.24	Bologna - Genoa	1:1
21.05.22	Genoa - Bologna	0:1
21.09.21	Bologna - Genoa	2:2

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