Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3

Date: 25 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Lumen Field (Seattle, WA)

Referee: Tantashev I. (Uzb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 2, Z Sports 3
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Mi Telefe App, Mi Telefe, Telefe
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Red Uno, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN, Win play, Win Sports
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Match 4
India	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 LIVE Israel, 5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+, Italia 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN, VIX+, ViX Premium
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA, TNT, truTV, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24


	Inter Milan		River Plate

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.2	3	3.75
	2.24	3.15	3.89
				Watch
	2.13	3.26	3.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.69)	3.15 ↓ (4.18)	3.83 ↓ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Milan
44.2%

Draw
30.6%

River Plate
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

22.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

25.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter Milan's form might have worsened.

River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+18.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter Milan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	57.9%	10.5%

Inter Milan - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 76 users predict this event. Inter will win (votes: 24 - 31.6%). River Plate will win (votes: 8 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 44 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.8% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 8 - 17.8%). River Plate (votes: 6 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 31 - 68.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 13 - 92.9%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - River Plate (1.70) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Inter (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Inter (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - River Plate (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Inter (1.48) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 55 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter (votes: 12 - 21.8%). River Plate (votes: 12 - 21.8%). Tie (votes: 31 - 56.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sommer Y. (G) 36. Darmian M. 15. Acerbi F. 95. Bastoni A. 2. Dumfries D. 23. Barella N. 21. Asllani K. 22. Mkhitaryan H. 32. Dimarco F. 10. Martinez L. (C) 94. Esposito F.	1. Armani F. (C) 4. Montiel G. 28. Martinez Quarta L. 17. Diaz P. 21. Acuna M. 5. Kranevitter M. 29. Aliendro R. 30. Mastantuono F. 8. Meza M. 11. Colidio F. 9. Miguel Borja
Substitutes
52. Berenbruch T. 40. Calligaris A. (G) 45. Carboni V. 30. Carlos Augusto 58. Cocchi M. 49. De Pieri G. 6. de Vrij S. 12. Di Gennaro R. (G) 70. Esposito Se. 11. Luis Henrique 13. Martinez J. (G) 42. Palacios T. 48. Re Cecconi G. 8. Sucic P. 59. Zalewski N.	16. Bustos F. 20. Casco M. 35. Costantini G. 26. Fernandez N. 2. Gattoni F. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 10. Lanzini M. 25. Ledesma C. (G) 39. Lencina S. 18. Martinez P. 6. Pezzella G. 13. Rivero L. 7. Rojas M. 38. Subiabre I. 19. Tapia G.
Coaches
Chivu C.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Montiel G. 🟨,
30', Bastoni A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Meza M. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
61', Aliendro R. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
62', Kranevitter M. ↓, Costantini G. ↑,
62', Barella N. ↓, Sucic P. ↑,
63', Dimarco F. ↓, Carlos Augusto ↑,
66', Martinez Quarta L. 🟥,
68', Colidio F. ↓, Pezzella G. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Esposito F. ⚽, Sucic P. (A),
73', Martinez L. ↓, Carboni V. ↑,
77', Carlos Augusto 🟨,
77', Lanzini M. 🟨,
83', Darmian M. ↓, de Vrij S. ↑,
83', Esposito F. ↓, Esposito Se. ↑,
85', Esposito Se. 🟨,
87', Pezzella G. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 0, Bastoni A. ⚽,
90+3', Montiel G. 🟨,
90+4', Dumfries D. 🟨,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, River Plate has had a series of home games.

Inter could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Inter: Bisseck Y. (Thigh Injury) Pavard B. (Ankle Injury) Taremi M. (Inactive) Zielinski P. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Castano K. (Red Card) Driussi S. (Ankle Injury) Ruberto A. (Knee Injury) Simon S. (Muscle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Milan
FIFA Club World Cup
21.06.25	Inter Milan - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Monterrey - Inter Milan	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
31.05.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Inter Milan	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.05.25	Como - Inter Milan	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLWT
- River Plate
FIFA Club World Cup
21.06.25	River Plate - Monterrey	0:0 ✺
17.06.25	River Plate - Urawa Red Diamonds	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
27.05.25	River Plate - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.25	River Plate - Platense	1:2 penalties ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.25	River Plate - Independiente del Valle	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TWTLW

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