Match Info

Gaucho - Round 3

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Presidente Vargas (Santa Maria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere, SporTV


	Inter Santa Maria		Juventude

	1	X	2
	4.1	2.7	2.2	Watch
	3.95	2.78	2.08	Watch
	4.03	2.81	2.15	Watch
	3.6	2.63	2.1
	4.15	2.72	2.04	Watch
	4	2.71	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↓ (5.06)	2.73 ↓ (3.41)	2.12 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Santa Maria
23.1%

Draw
33.7%

Juventude
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

26.9%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Santa Maria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Inter Santa Maria - Juventude Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Iago Hass (G) 2. Mizael 14. Salazar L. (C) 23. Rodrigo Augusto 94. Otavio Passos 34. Marco Freitas 18. Julio Simas 7. Laion 17. Wilson Junior 98. Joao Felipe 9. Yuri Mamute	93. Jandrei (G) 2. Rai Ramos 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 30. Patryck 19. Gabriel Taliari 8. Lucas Mineiro 26. Ly I. 44. Mandaca 25. Alisson Safira
Substitutes
29. Adson 6. Chico Bala 19. Guedes I. 22. Itaqui 11. Jarro Pedroso 4. Marcao 27. Marquinhos 5. Mateus Santana 99. Michel Henrique 1. Rafael Copetti (G) 3. Tairone 10. Vitor Junior	23. Abner 28. Alan Ruschel 43. Bernardo Toffolo 17. Castro M. 18. Emerson Galego 20. Joao Trevisol 70. Juan Christian 15. Leo Indio 99. Marlon Santos 7. Pablo Roberto 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 21. Ruan Carneiro (G)
Coaches
Bruno Coutinho	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ly I. 🟨,
38', Marcos Paulo 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ly I. ↓, Castro M. ↑,
46', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Abner ↑,
51', Rodrigo Augusto ↓, Marcao ↑,
58', Marcao 🟨,
64', Julio Simas ↓, Adson ↑,
64', Wilson Junior ↓, Vitor Junior ↑,
65', Patryck 🟥,
70', Alisson Safira ↓, Leo Indio ↑,
77', Mizael ↓, Michel Henrique ↑,
78', Otavio Passos ↓, Mateus Santana ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Castro M. ⚽,
87', Mandaca ↓, Pablo Roberto ↑,
90+2', Rai Ramos ↓, Bernardo Toffolo ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Juventude has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Juventude is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
14.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - São Luiz	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
30.08.25	Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Novo Hamburgo - Inter Santa Maria	3:2 ✺
17.08.25	Inter Santa Maria - Veranopolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTTLW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
14.01.26	Novo Hamburgo - Juventude	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Juventude - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Corinthians - Juventude	1:1 ✺
03.12.25	Juventude - Santos	0:3 ✺
28.11.25	Juventude - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTTLT

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