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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 58%
Draw 24.7%
Juventude 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
22.2%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.2%
21.2%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.
Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Corinthians - Juventude Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Corinthians will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Kaue (G) 3. Torres F. 47. Joao Pedro 26. Angileri F. 35. Charles Rigon 70. Martinez J. 19. Carrillo A. 46. Hugo 43. Talles Magno 11. Angel Romero (C) 31. Kayke
13. Jandrei (G) 32. Igor Formiga 3. Luan Freitas 34. Rodrigo Sam 22. Marcelo Hermes 16. Jadson 44. Mandaca 72. Peixoto 95. Caique Goncalves 10. Nene (C) 19. Gabriel Taliari
Substitutes
48. Amorim G. 49. Andre 25. Caca 10. Depay M. 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 56. Gui Negao 21. Matheus Bidu 2. Matheuzinho 14. Raniele 37. Ryan 29. Vitinho
23. Abner 28. Alan Ruschel 87. Edison Negueba 2. Ewerthon 11. Giovanny 8. Giraldo D. 17. Matheus Babi 36. Nata 93. Reginaldo 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 90. Scatolin J.
Coaches
Dorival Junior
Thiago Carpini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Kayke (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
46', Carrillo A. ↓, Raniele ↑,
46', Nene ↓, Giovanny ↑,
46', Bernardo ↓, Ewerthon ↑,
57', Caique Goncalves 🟨,
61', Talles Magno ↓, Depay M. ↑,
62', Angel Romero ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
67', Jadson ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
78', Hugo ↓, Andre ↑,
82', Igor Formiga ↓, Edison Negueba ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Edison Negueba ⚽, Marcelo Hermes (A),
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
Juventude is Relegated to Serie B Superbet
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 1.
Corinthians is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Juventude has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Corinthians is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Corinthians: Depay M.
(Knee Injury)
Yuri Alberto
(Groin Injury)
There will not play in Juventude: Lucas Fernandes
(Inactive)
Marcos Paulo
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Corinthians: Andre Ramalho
(Injury)
There are questionable in Juventude: Emerson Galego
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Juventude - the odds 6.46 are the expected chance of winning is 14.66%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Kaue (G) 
Torres F. 
Angileri F. 
Martinez J. 
Carrillo A. 
Angel Romero (C) 
Depay M. 
Giraldo D. 
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