Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO
Mexico	FOX Sports


	Inter Santa Tecla		Fuerte San Francisco

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.85	5.60
	1.50	4.05	5.30
	1.55	3.93	5.8	Watch
	1.52	3.86	5.88
	1.53	4.42	5.90
	1.49	3.85	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	3.99 ↑ (3.85)	5.61 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Santa Tecla
60.7%

Draw
23%

Fuerte San Francisco
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.3%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22.3%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Inter Santa Tecla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-1%)

Inter Santa Tecla - Fuerte San Francisco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Santa Tecla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Inter Santa Tecla (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Inter Santa Tecla (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Inter Santa Tecla (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Gallardo J. ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 12th).

In recent outings, Inter Santa Tecla has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Fuerte has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Fuerte may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Inter Santa Tecla carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Inter Santa Tecla has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Inter Santa Tecla	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22
12	Fuerte San Francisco	14	1	6	7	9:23	-14	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Santa Tecla
El Salvador Primera Division
30.09.26	Águila - Inter Santa Tecla	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Atlético Balboa	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - CD FAS	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cacahuatique - Inter Santa Tecla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTTW
- CD Fuerte San Francisco
El Salvador Primera Division
01.10.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Luis Ángel Firpo	0:3 ✺
27.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Fuerte San Francisco	2:2 ✺
18.09.26	INCA-Aruba - Fuerte San Francisco	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
01.08.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Inter Santa Tecla	2:2

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