Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO
Mexico	FOX Sports


	Águila		Inter Santa Tecla

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.00	3.25
	1.92	3.05	3.65
	1.96	3.26	3.96
	1.99	3.3	3.78	Watch
	1.94	3.2	3.75
	2.12	3.51	3.2
	1.93	3.1	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.4)	3.2 ↑ (3.1)	3.6 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águila
46%

Draw
28.6%

Inter Santa Tecla
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.9%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.4%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águila's performance.

Inter Santa Tecla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Santa Tecla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águila that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Santa Tecla than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Santa Tecla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águila - Inter Santa Tecla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, Cruz E. ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, Ceren D. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, Granitto T. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Inter Santa Tecla may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Águila has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Inter Santa Tecla	14	5	7	2	19:12	7	22
5	Aguila	14	5	5	4	22:18	4	20

Last Results with these Odds

Águila - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Águila
El Salvador Primera Division
26.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Águila	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Águila - INCA-Aruba	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTT
- Inter Santa Tecla
El Salvador Primera Division
26.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Atlético Balboa	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
16.09.26	Inter Santa Tecla - CD FAS	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cacahuatique - Inter Santa Tecla	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Inter Santa Tecla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
30.07.26	Inter Santa Tecla - Águila	0:0

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