Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Veritas Stadion (Turku)

Referee: Viljanen P. (Fin)


	Inter Turku		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.33	7.5
	1.4	4.4	8.3
	1.4	4.3	7.4
	1.42	4.67	8.86
	1.36	4	8.5
	1.41	4.6	8.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.66)	4.36 ↑ (3.4)	8.02 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter Turku
66.9%

Draw
21.5%

HIFK
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter Turku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Inter Turku's performance.

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Turku than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Inter Turku that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	6.7%	26.7%

Inter Turku - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Inter Turku will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). HIFK will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Turku: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inter Turku won 2.

Recent matches Inter Turku is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

HIFK is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Inter Turku is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Inter Turku won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 40-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Inter Turku won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter Turku
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.05.22	Honka - Inter Turku	2:1 ✺
03.05.22	Inter Turku - HJK	0:1 ✺
29.04.22	Inter Turku - IFK Mariehamn	4:0 ✺
23.04.22	HJK - Inter Turku	1:4 ✺
17.04.22	Inter Turku - Haka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWWL
- HIFK
Finnish Veikkausliiga
07.05.22	Oulu - HIFK	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
03.05.22	Honka - HIFK	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
28.04.22	HIFK - HJK	0:2 ✺
22.04.22	Haka - HIFK	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	HIFK - Lahti	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.01.22	Inter Turku - HIFK	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.10.21	Inter Turku - HIFK	2:0
19.07.21	Inter Turku - HIFK	0:1
29.05.21	HIFK - Inter Turku	1:4
14.09.20	HIFK - Inter Turku	0:0
14.08.20	Inter Turku - HIFK	3:2
Finnish Cup
14.02.20	HIFK - Inter Turku	1:1

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