Match Info

VENEZUELA: Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Agustín Tovar (Barinas)


	Inter de Barinas		Academia Puerto Cabello

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.95
	3.6	3.3	2
	3.77	3.17	2
	3.77	3.17	2.01
	3.6	3.25	1.95
	3.73	3.28	1.99	Watch
	3.35	3.25	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.55)	3.23 ↑ (2.89)	1.98 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inter de Barinas
25.5%

Draw
28.3%

Academia Puerto Cabello
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

31.3%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

33.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inter de Barinas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Inter de Barinas's form might have worsened.

Academia Puerto Cabello has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Academia Puerto Cabello's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Inter de Barinas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academia Puerto Cabello than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Academia Puerto Cabello, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Avellaneda S. (G) 23. Ruiz M. 25. Muriel J. 26. Deusa J. 21. Da Silva J. 10. Gomez D. 15. Livingstone A. 3. Urdaneta A. 17. Magallan C. 8. Zapata J. 13. Martinez C.	55. Romero L. (G) 5. Silva K. 4. Rivero C. 13. Peraza E. 28. Cobos F. 29. Covea M. 22. Bravo F. 6. Cedeno J. 11. Rojas R. 77. Celis R. 7. Fedor M.
Substitutes
28. Alvarado J. 22. Forero L. (G) 34. Mosquera L. 9. Osorio A. 24. Osorio J. 31. Pernia M. 30. Rivas J. 27. Rivera J. 2. Valladares I.	16. Bahachille A. 24. Cermeno C. 3. Conde Chourio O. I. 23. Congo Y. 2. Ferreira E. 30. Gonzalez W. 20. Guerrero R. 32. Moreno C. 99. Okitokandjo S. 19. Romero A. 12. Schiavone G. (G) 18. Yendis J.
Coaches
Vielma L.	Sanvicente N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Celis R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Cedeno J. 🟨,
58', Cedeno J. ↓, Cermeno C. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Zapata J. ⚽,
64', Covea M. 🟨,
67', Silva K. ↓, Ferreira E. ↑,
67', Covea M. ↓, Okitokandjo S. ↑,
70', Martinez C. ↓, Osorio J. ↑,
70', Magallan C. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
70', Gomez D. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
75', Celis R. ↓, Romero A. ↑,
75', Bravo F. ↓, Congo Y. ↑,
77', Rivera J. 🟨,
78', Zapata J. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
82', Muriel J. 🟨,
90+3', Cermeno C. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Inter de Barinas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Puerto Cabello is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Puerto Cabello will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inter de Barinas
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.03.24	Caracas - Inter de Barinas	1:2 ✺
24.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Rayo Zuliano - Inter de Barinas	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Inter de Barinas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WTWLW
- Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.03.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	2:2 ✺
25.03.24	Angostura - Academia Puerto Cabello	1:0 ✺
20.03.24	Zamora - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Táchira - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLTWW

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