Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - APERTURA - ROUND 10

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV (Caracas)

Referee: Marabay C. (Ven)


	Caracas		Inter de Barinas

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.9	6.25
	1.45	4	6.5
	1.48	3.83	7.29
	1.49	3.83	7.29
	1.5	3.6	6.5
	1.42	4.2	7.55
	1.43	3.9	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	6.83 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caracas
63%

Draw
23.6%

Inter de Barinas
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.6%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

23.9%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Inter de Barinas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter de Barinas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Caracas - Inter de Barinas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caracas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Inter de Barinas will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Caracas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Inter de Barinas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Inter de Barinas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Caracas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caracas FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.03.24	Monagas - Caracas	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Caracas - Angostura	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Zamora - Caracas	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Caracas - Deportivo Táchira	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTT
- Inter de Barinas
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Deportivo Táchira	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Rayo Zuliano - Inter de Barinas	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Portuguesa Acarígua	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	Estudiantes de Mérida - Inter de Barinas	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Inter de Barinas - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TWLWL

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