Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Camp Municipal Antonio Solana (Alicante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Intercity		Atlético Sanluqueño

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	3.6
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	1.95	2.95	3.3
	2.07	3.23	3.39	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.08	3.24	3.41
	1.95	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.26)	3.12 ↓ (3.36)	3.4 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Intercity
44.8%

Draw
28.8%

Atlético Sanluqueño
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.3%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

25.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Intercity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Sanluqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Intercity than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Intercity - Atlético Sanluqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Casado S. (G) 2. San Emeterio B. 4. Hernandez A. 16. Gonzalez Nacho 15. Perez A. (C) 10. Martinez B. 5. Llonch P. 23. Gonzalez N. 9. Locadia J. 21. Sito 22. Montero Sergio	1. Perez S. (G) 5. Puerto A. 8. Carbonell P. 18. Kikin 3. Martinez A. 11. Guti A. 14. El Arbaoui Y. 24. Riera R. 10. Vacas L. 19. Valverde V. 9. Valino A.
Substitutes
18. Burlamaqui A. 20. Codina M. 14. Elady 1. Freixanet P. (G) 6. Gracia J. 17. Keita M. 8. Nsue E. 11. Roige Rodriguez P. 7. Zequi	6. Calderon M. 7. Colau 27. Csanad G. 15. Cuevas A. 21. Feria J. 13. Garcia-Alejo R. (G) 22. Gonzalez C. 17. Pavon A. 4. Vega A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Puerto A. 🟨,
18', Llonch P. 🟨,
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽,
52', 1 - 1, Valino A. (Pen),
55', Sito ↓, Roige Rodriguez P. ↑,
55', Perez A. ↓, Zequi ↑,
62', Carbonell P. 🟨,
72', 1 - 2, Valverde V. ⚽,
76', Locadia J. ↓, Nsue E. ↑,
76', Montero Sergio ↓, Elady ↑,
77', Guti A. ↓, Pavon A. ↑,
81', Llonch P. ↓, Gracia J. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Intercity could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sanluqueño have a series of home games.

Intercity will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Intercity won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Intercity won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Intercity - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.69%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Intercity
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.12.24	Real Murcia - Intercity	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Intercity - Villarreal B	2:2 ✺
07.12.24	Recreativo Huelva - Intercity	1:0 ✺
01.12.24	Intercity - Alcorcón	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Intercity - Sevilla B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTLLW
- Atlético Sanluqueño
Club Friendly
05.01.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Cádiz	1:4 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Hércules	1:1 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
07.12.24	Alcoyano - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:2 ✺
30.11.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Algeciras	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.02.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Intercity	3:0
04.11.23	Intercity - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0

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