Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Real Murcia		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.33
	1.83	2.95	4.2
	1.89	3.05	4.4
	1.87	3.09	4.37	Watch
	1.85	3.13	4.48
	1.89	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.91)	3.05 ↓ (3.1)	4.36 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
49%

Draw
30%

Recreativo Huelva
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

29%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 18. Vicente D. 6. Gonzalez A. 5. Jaso Zunzarren A. 28. Forns I. 30. Palmberg 10. Gomez I. 9. Benito P. A. P. 22. Juan Carlos 20. Davo 23. Bosilj D.	1. Galvez R. (G) 4. Serrano R. 22. Navas R. 5. Galvez R. 18. Perejon D. 21. Camara M. 14. Del Pozo D. 3. Lopez A. 8. Luis Alcalde 7. Romero P. 9. Quintana C.
Substitutes
12. Alcania R. 16. Boateng R. 7. Buron L. 21. Cadete 14. Leon P. 29. Matheus Cadorini 2. Mier J. 24. Moha Moukhliss 13. Piedra I. (G) 17. Rojas C. 27. Toral A. 15. Yriarte J.	28. Almeida J. 15. Armero S. 6. Bahachille A. 20. Becken C. 13. Centurion G. (G) 26. Davinchi 10. Dominguez A. 19. Garcia Perez J. L. 23. Soto D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', Romero P. 🟨,
30', Lopez A. ↓, Davinchi ↑,
39', 1 - 0, Benito P. A. P. ⚽,
42', Galvez R. ↓, Becken C. ↑,
45', 2 - 0, Bosilj D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Camara M. ↓, Garcia Perez J. L. ↑,
56', 3 - 0, Benito P. A. P. ⚽,
57', Davo ↓, Leon P. ↑,
60', Gomez I. 🟨,
62', Gomez I. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
62', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
78', Becken C. 🟨,
83', Luis Alcalde ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
83', Becken C. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
85', Juan Carlos ↓, Toral A. ↑,
85', Bosilj D. ↓, Alcania R. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murcia won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Murcia won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13:19 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.03.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Real Murcia	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Real Murcia - Fuenlabrada	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Atlético Madrid B - Real Murcia	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Real Murcia - Ibiza	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	Mérida AD - Real Murcia	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLLW
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
22.03.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	Intercity - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Recreativo Huelva - Betis B	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Hércules - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Recreativo Huelva - Antequera	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
13.10.24	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	0:1
03.03.24	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	1:0
03.12.23	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
17.11.19	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	0:0
03.02.19	Recreativo Huelva - Real Murcia	2:0
16.09.18	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	2:2
14.01.18	Real Murcia - Recreativo Huelva	0:0

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