Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Fernandes de Lima F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Globoplay, Premiere, TV Record
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Usa	Fanatiz
World	OneFootball TV


	Internacional RS		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	3.1	Watch
	2.40	2.90	3.30
	2.45	2.85	3.05	Watch
	2.53	3.07	3.34
	2.52	2.96	3.2	Watch
	2.45	3	3.25
	2.54	3.04	3.14	Watch
	2.49	2.9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.13)	2.97 ↓ (3.43)	3.19 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
38.3%

Draw
32%

Corinthians
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.1%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Internacional RS's form might have worsened.

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Internacional RS - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (2.08) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.52) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Corinthians (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Anthoni (G) 35. Aguirre B. 15. Bruno Gomes 18. Juninho 25. Mercado G. 5. Villagra R. 29. Thiago Maia 28. Vitinho 10. Alan Patrick (C) 26. Bernabei A. 9. Alerrandro	1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 10. Depay M. 14. Raniele 37. Kaio Cesar 8. Garro R. (C) 7. Breno Bidon 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
8. Bruno Henrique 30. Calebe 7. Carbonero J. 53. de Morais Francisco L. F. 17. Eliasson N. 49. Joao Bezerra 44. Joao Victor 6. Matheus Bahia 23. Matheus Cunha (G) 27. Paulinho Paula 46. Pedro Kaua 16. Ronaldo	29. Allan 49. Andre 26. Angileri F. 35. Charles Rigon 56. Gui Negao 51. Kaue (G) 77. Lingard J. 55. Machado I. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M. 11. Vitinho
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Diniz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Vitinho ⚽, Alan Patrick (A),
28', Breno Bidon 🟨,
41', Kaio Cesar 🟨,
45+5', Bernabei A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Breno Bidon ↓, Andre ↑,
46', Aguirre B. ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
47', Villagra R. 🟨,
58', Gustavo Henrique 🟨,
58', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
65', Bernabei A. ↓, Matheus Bahia ↑,
65', Thiago Maia ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
73', Alerrandro ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
73', Juninho ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Alan Patrick ⚽, Bruno Henrique (A),
79', Gabriel Paulista ↓, Vitinho ↑,
79', Yuri Alberto ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Andre ⚽, Vitinho (A),
85', Garro R. 🟨,
88', Depay M. ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
88', Garro R. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
90+5', Mercado G. 🟨,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Serie B and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Internacional (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Corinthians is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Internacional has faced a series of away games on the road.

Internacional is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Internacional: Arhin B. (Hamstring Injury) Calebe (Ankle Injury) Kayky (Ankle Injury) Rochet S. (Lower Back Injury).

Confirmed absences for Corinthians: Kayke (Knee Injury) Labyad Z. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Corinthians: Andre Ramalho (Health problems).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Internacional has recorded 6 wins, 11 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:23 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Internacional against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, with 12:8 goals (averaging 1.3:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Corinthians	29	8	8	13	30:34	-4	32
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32:37	-5	31

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.7%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
19.09.26	São Paulo - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Chapecoense - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
06.09.26	Internacional RS - Santos	2:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
03.09.26	Grêmio - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.26	Bahia - Internacional RS	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.26	Corinthians - Fluminense	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.09.26	Corinthians - Estudiantes La Plata	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.09.26	Flamengo - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.09.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.09.26	Corinthians - Chapecoense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
06.08.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	2:1
02.08.26	Internacional RS - Corinthians	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
05.04.26	Corinthians - Internacional RS	0:1
01.10.25	Internacional RS - Corinthians	1:1
03.05.25	Corinthians - Internacional RS	4:2
05.10.24	Corinthians - Internacional RS	2:2
19.06.24	Internacional RS - Corinthians	1:0

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