Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Internacional RS		Avaí

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	8
	1.5	4.1	7
	1.5	3.9	6.5
	1.5	3.8	6.6
	1.51	4.06	7.66
	1.52	3.6	7
	1.52	4	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 (1.51)	3.89 ↑ (3.5)	7.12 ↓ (8.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
62.5%

Draw
24.2%

Avaí
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

26.8%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

26.5%

10.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Internacional RS - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Avaí will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Internacional has the most likely position - 4 (7.98%), has project points - 58, has currently - 6, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Avaí has the most likely position - 19 (10.42%), has project points - 42, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 44, small importance 28, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Internacional is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Avaí is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Internacional could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Internacional is certain favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Internacional won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Internacional won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Copa Sudamericana
26.04.22	Independiente Medellín - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.22	Fluminense - Internacional RS	0:1 ✺
17.04.22	Internacional RS - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.04.22	Internacional RS - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.04.22	Atlético Mineiro - Internacional RS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWTL
- Avaí
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.22	Avaí - Goiás	3:2 ✺
16.04.22	Corinthians - Avaí	3:0 ✺
10.04.22	Avaí - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
19.03.22	Brusque - Avaí	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Avaí - Brusque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
17.10.19	Avaí - Internacional RS	0:2
02.06.19	Internacional RS - Avaí	2:0
Brazilian Primeira Liga
17.02.16	Internacional RS - Avaí	3:0
Brazilian Serie A
30.08.15	Avaí - Internacional RS	3:0
17.05.15	Internacional RS - Avaí	1:0

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