Match Info

Gaucho - Round 4

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)


	Internacional RS		Inter Santa Maria

	1	X	2
	1.09	8	29	Watch
	1.1	7.5	18.5	Watch
	1.15	6.75	18.99	Watch
	1.11	6.5	23
	1.11	7.86	23	Watch
	1.12	7	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↓ (1.36)	7.27 ↑ (4.31)	22.25 ↑ (7.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
83.1%

Draw
12.7%

Inter Santa Maria
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

21.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional RS's performance.

Inter Santa Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Inter Santa Maria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Internacional RS - Inter Santa Maria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 25. Mercado G. 41. Victor Gabriel 26. Bernabei A. 16. Ronaldo 27. Paulinho Paula 28. Vitinho 10. Alan Patrick (C) 7. Carbonero J. 19. Borre R.	20. Iago Hass (G) 2. Mizael 14. Salazar L. (C) 23. Rodrigo Augusto 94. Otavio Passos 7. Laion 34. Marco Freitas 18. Julio Simas 98. Joao Felipe 17. Wilson Junior 9. Yuri Mamute
Substitutes
35. Aguirre B. 30. Alisson 31. Allex 24. Anthoni (G) 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 20. Clayton Sampaio 49. Joao Bezerra 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 50. Kauan Alves 4. Torres F.	29. Adson 6. Chico Bala 35. Comoreto V. (G) 19. Guedes I. 22. Itaqui 4. Marcao 5. Mateus Santana 99. Michel Henrique 8. Mossoro 1. Rafael Copetti (G) 3. Tairone 10. Vitor Junior
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Bruno Coutinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Alan Patrick (Penalty Awarded),
40', Mateus Santana 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Mercado G. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
65', Wilson Junior ↓, Vitor Junior ↑,
65', Vitinho ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
65', Carbonero J. ↓, Allex ↑,
73', Yuri Mamute ↓, Guedes I. ↑,
73', Joao Felipe ↓, Michel Henrique ↑,
76', Alan Patrick ↓, Bruno Tabata ↑,
83', Mizael ↓, Adson ↑,
83', Mateus Santana ↓, Mossoro ↑,
87', Ronaldo 🟨,
90+2', Paulinho Paula ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Torres F. ⚽, Bruno Gomes (A),

Preview

Internacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Internacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Internacional is the undisputed favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
18.01.26	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Monsoon - Internacional RS	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Internacional RS - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Internacional RS - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
03.12.25	São Paulo - Internacional RS	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWWWL
- Inter Santa Maria
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
17.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - Juventude	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Inter Santa Maria - São Luiz	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Inter Santa Maria	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
30.08.25	Inter Santa Maria - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Novo Hamburgo - Inter Santa Maria	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTL

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