Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 38

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Win+ Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz


	Internacional RS		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.55	4.25	4.95
	1.63	4.24	5.59
	1.64	4.02	5.16	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
	1.66	3.99	5.61	Watch
	1.54	4.25	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.78)	4.05 ↑ (3.45)	5.37 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
59.1%

Draw
23.3%

Red Bull Bragantino
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

28.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Internacional RS's performance.

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Internacional RS - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Internacional RS will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 35. Aguirre B. 4. Vitao 25. Mercado G. 26. Bernabei A. 15. Bruno Gomes 14. Rodriguez A. 29. Thiago Maia 10. Alan Patrick (C) 28. Vitinho 19. Borre R.	1. Cleiton (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 4. Alix Vinicius 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba (C) 6. Gabriel 10. Jhon Jhon 22. Gustavo Neves 21. Lucas Barbosa 8. Eduardo Sasha 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
30. Alisson 23. Benitez A. 8. Bruno Henrique 17. Bruno Tabata 7. Carbonero J. 20. Clayton Sampaio 32. Diego Esser (G) 18. Juninho 49. Ricardo Mathias 36. Richard 11. Romero O. 41. Victor Gabriel	18. Borbas T. 27. Davi Gomes 3. Eduardo Santos 7. Eric Ramires 37. Fabricio (G) 11. Fernando 34. Hurtado A. 35. Matheus Fernandes 25. Praxedes 12. Vanderlan 17. Vinicinho 28. Yuri Leles
Coaches
Abel Braga	Vagner Mancini

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Alan Patrick 🟨,
35', Eduardo Sasha 🟨,
38', Jhon Jhon 🟨,
45+3', Pitta I. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Mercado G. ⚽, Vitao (A),
52', Cleiton 🟨,
63', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Vinicinho ↑,
71', Vitinho ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
72', Borre R. ↓, Ricardo Mathias ↑,
74', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Fernando ↑,
74', Gabriel ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Alan Patrick (Penalty Awarded),
81', 3 - 0, Carbonero J. ⚽, Ricardo Mathias (A),
85', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
85', Gustavo Neves ↓, Matheus Fernandes ↑,
86', Nathan Mendes ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
87', 3 - 1, Jhon Jhon ⚽, Vinicinho (A),
88', Bernabei A. ↓, Juninho ↑,
89', Alan Patrick ↓, Richard ↑,
90+5', Bruno Gomes ↓, Bruno Henrique ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

RB Bragantino is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Internacional is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Internacional: Anthoni (Inactive) Ivan (Injury) Ronaldo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Bruninho (Achilles Tendon Injury) Fabinho (Knee Injury) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Internacional: Luis Otavio (Injury)

There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Mosquera H. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Serie A
03.12.25	São Paulo - Internacional RS	3:0 ✺
28.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Internacional RS	5:1 ✺
24.11.25	Internacional RS - Santos	1:1 ✺
20.11.25	Ceará - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
08.11.25	Internacional RS - Bahia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLTWT
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
03.12.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Vitória Salvador	4:0 ✺
26.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Flamengo - Red Bull Bragantino	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Atlético Mineiro	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	São Paulo - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.08.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	1:3
24.11.24	Internacional RS - Red Bull Bragantino	4:1
25.09.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	2:2
26.11.23	Internacional RS - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
23.07.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	0:0
28.09.22	Internacional RS - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0
05.06.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Internacional RS	0:2

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