Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Francisco Rivera Escobar (Palmira)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Internacional de Palmira		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	3.10	2.45
	2.60	3.10	2.43	Watch
	2.74	3.20	2.60
	2.65	3.24	2.6	Watch
	2.70	3.15	2.55
	2.70	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.37)	3.16 ↑ (2.95)	2.53 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional de Palmira
34.7%

Draw
29%

Real Cartagena
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

31%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional de Palmira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Real Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Internacional de Palmira than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cuesta W. (G) 25. Alvarez A. 23. Correa R. 19. Gonzalez K. 3. Mejia A. 30. Mina Chara J. E. 14. Orozco D. 11. Padilla Kevin 31. Popo J. 5. Rodallega J. 80. Suarez H.	1. Montes A. (G) 17. Aleman J. 33. Balanta M. 7. Barrera J. 25. De Las Salas C. 80. Lopez E. 10. Montero F. 28. Paternina C. 16. Pineda J. 14. Pino D. 5. Solarte Espana J. A.
Substitutes
13. Angulo J. 4. Ariza Y. 9. Brochero R. 27. Castillo F. 15. Maturana J. 21. Moreno J. 1. Perez A. (G) 17. Rodallega R. 6. Velez Carey J. J.	99. Castillo D. 6. Escobar A. 18. Gallego J. P. 22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 9. Manotas M. 27. Melendez A. 3. Redondo Garcia E. H. 21. Rodriguez J. 11. Yanes L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Correa R. ⚽,
22', 🟨,
27', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Montero F. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Mejia A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 1.

Inter Palmira has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Cartagena has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Inter Palmira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Inter Palmira has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Inter Palmira won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Inter Palmira won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
9	Inter Palmira	11	4	2	5	8:12	-4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Internacional de Palmira - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 37.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional de Palmira
Colombian Primera B
08.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Cali	0:1 ✺
03.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cundinamarca	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Real Santander - Internacional de Palmira	3:1 ✺
24.08.26	Internacional de Palmira - Barranquilla	1:0 ✺
02.08.26	Internacional de Palmira - Bogotá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWT
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
04.09.26	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Real Cartagena - Tigres	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Leones - Real Cartagena	1:6 ✺
20.08.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
06.08.26	Real Cartagena - Independiente Valle del Cauca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
10.03.26	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	2:2
14.07.25	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	0:0
14.06.25	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	3:3
26.05.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	0:1
31.01.25	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	2:0
19.07.24	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	0:0
03.02.24	Real Cartagena - Internacional de Palmira	2:0

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