Match Info

SCOTLAND: CHAMPIONSHIP - ROUND 29

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Referee: Snedden I. (Sco)


	Inverness		Ayr United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.31	3.3	3.32
	2.31	3.23	3.32
	2.15	3.2	3.1
	2.2	3.26	3.15	Watch
	2.16	3.25	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.12)	3.26 ↓ (3.43)	3.16 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
42.2%

Draw
28.4%

Ayr United
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

27%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.5%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Ayr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Inverness - Ayr United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Ayr will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ridgers M. (G) 30. Carragher J. 6. Devine D. 34. Savage R. 2. Duffy W. 40. Lawal S. 4. Kerr C. 15. Anderson M. 3. Harper C. 9. McKay B. (C) 38. Samuel A.	38. Clarke J. (G) 2. McAllister N. 23. Sanders J. 14. Stanger G. 4. Musonda F. (C) 22. McKenzie M. 20. Syla R. 21. McHugh H. 30. Bryden F. 9. Willoughby K. 16. Dowds A.
Substitutes
20. Boyes M. 24. Brooks A. 10. Doran A. 21. Mackay C. (G) 14. Pepple A. 11. Samuels A.	1. Albinson C. (G) 17. Amartey F. 11. Chalmers L. 8. Dempsey B. 10. McGeady A. 25. McGinley N. 5. McGinty S. 15. Murphy J. 24. Tomlinson S.
Coaches
Ferguson D.	Brown S.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Inverness won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Inverness could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Inverness will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Inverness won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 32-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Inverness won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
09.03.24	Inverness - Airdrieonians	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Greenock Morton - Inverness	0:2 ✺
27.02.24	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Arbroath - Inverness	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Inverness - Partick Thistle	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTTT
- Ayr United
Scottish Football Championship
02.03.24	Dunfermline Athletic - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Ayr United - Partick Thistle	4:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ayr United - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Airdrieonians - Ayr United	2:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.02.24	Glasgow Rangers - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
06.01.24	Ayr United - Inverness	1:3
11.11.23	Inverness - Ayr United	3:1
12.08.23	Ayr United - Inverness	1:0
05.05.23	Inverness - Ayr United	1:2
04.03.23	Ayr United - Inverness	1:2
19.11.22	Inverness - Ayr United	2:2
01.10.22	Ayr United - Inverness	0:1

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