The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ayr United 45.1%
Draw 29.5%
Raith Rovers 25.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43.2%
29.5%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
29.1%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayr United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Ayr United - Raith Rovers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Thompson M. (G) 20. King L. 5. Holt K. 33. McMann S. 55. Finney G. 6. Bannigan S. 8. Dempsey B. (C) 22. McKenzie M. 3. Dick L. 10. Main C. 7. Dowds A.
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 6. O'Connor D. 4. Hanlon P. 3. Wilson E. 20. Brown S. (C) 22. Doherty J. 14. Mullin J. 23. Easton D. 19. Winter A. 9. Hamilton J.
Substitutes
17. Bonnar J. 9. Oakley G. 23. Rus M. 38. Russell L. (G) 16. Summers B. 21. Walker E. 4. Want S.
7. Chin R. 17. Gibson L. 24. Glavin A. (G) 27. Hannah C. 8. Matthews R. 18. McMullan P. 25. Montagu K. 29. Nsio P. 10. Vaughan L.
Coaches
Brown S.
Imrie D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', McKenzie M. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Dempsey B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Dowds A. ⚽,
59', Winter A. ↓, Nsio P. ↑,
59', Mullin J. ↓, Vaughan L. ↑,
59', Rowe J. ↓, Matthews R. ↑,
68', Main C. ↓, Summers B. ↑,
69', McMann S. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Vaughan L. ⚽, Doherty J. (A),
81', Dowds A. ↓, Oakley G. ↑,
81', Dick L. ↓, Want S. ↑,
82', Bannigan S. 🟨,
85', Finney G. 🟨,
86', Bannigan S. ↓, Bonnar J. ↑,
86', McKenzie M. ↓, Walker E. ↑,
88', Want S. 🟨,
88', King L. 🟨,
89', Brown S. 🟨,
90+1', Holt K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Raith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Ayr is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayr won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ayr won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Raith
12
6
3
3
16:9
7
21
7
Ayr
11
3
3
5
10:12
-2
12
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now