Match Info

Championship - Round 5

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tulloch Caledonian Stadium (Inverness)

Referee: Hogarth L. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Raith TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Inverness		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.20	3.20
	2.15	3.10	2.95
	2.30	3.15	2.85	Watch
	2.21	3.25	3.52
	2.31	3.18	3.15	Watch
	2.15	3.20	3.45
	2.17	3.38	3.38	Watch
	2.22	3.20	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.36)	3.21 ↓ (3.38)	3.21 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Inverness
42.2%

Draw
28.9%

Raith Rovers
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.6%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

28.5%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Raith Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Inverness - Raith Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Raith will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munro R. (G) 2. MacLeod C. 5. Savage R. 6. Devine D. (C) 3. Boutin N. 7. Allan P. 4. Shinnie G. 16. Duncan R. 35. Stewart A. 17. Sole L. 36. Bavidge A.	1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 4. Hanlon P. (C) 6. Baird J. 3. Delaney Z. 15. Tiffoney S. 14. Adamson C. 11. Robertson J. 25. Montagu K. 18. McMullan P. 19. Dowds A.
Substitutes
19. Bates M. 14. Keir M. 11. Longstaff L. 26. MacGregor R. 12. MacKay D. 8. Mackinnon A. 21. Ross L. (G) 15. Smith K.	13. Armstrong L. (G) 20. Brown S. 23. Easton D. 5. Fordyce C. 7. Lyall A. 9. Oakley G. 16. Stevenson L. 21. Telfer Ch. 8. Turner K.
Coaches
Kellacher S.	Imrie D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Robertson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Delaney Z. 🟨,
54', Dowds A. ↓, Oakley G. ↑,
67', Delaney Z. ↓, Stevenson L. ↑,
67', McMullan P. ↓, Easton D. ↑,
68', Stewart A. ↓, Mackinnon A. ↑,
69', Sole L. ↓, MacKay D. ↑,
78', Adamson C. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
79', Robertson J. ↓, Telfer Ch. ↑,
81', Bavidge A. ↓, Bates M. ↑,
81', Shinnie G. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
81', MacLeod C. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
83', 🟨,
85', 0 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽, Telfer Ch. (A),
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Promotion: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 1.

Inverness is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Raith is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Inverness may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Inverness is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Inverness won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Inverness won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Raith: 15.39% Inverness: 4.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Raith	9	5	2	2	13:6	7	17
8	Inverness	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
29.08.26	Stenhousemuir - Inverness	3:1 ✺
21.08.26	Inverness - Partick Thistle	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hearts - Inverness	6:2 ✺
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Arbroath - Inverness	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLTT
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
28.08.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Raith Rovers - Ayr United	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Queens Park - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
21.07.26	Raith Rovers - Peterhead	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
05.04.26	Raith Rovers - Inverness	4:1
Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	Raith Rovers - Inverness	5:1
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Raith Rovers - Inverness	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
19.04.24	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:1
27.01.24	Raith Rovers - Inverness	2:3
02.12.23	Inverness - Raith Rovers	1:2
16.09.23	Raith Rovers - Inverness	1:0

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