Match Info

League Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Hearts TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Hearts		Inverness

	1	X	2
	1.25	5	11
	1.27	5.50	8.50
	1.25	5.35	9.5
	1.27	5.58	10.97
	1.3	5.4	9.37	Watch
	1.25	5.5	10
	1.28	5.1	11.2
	1.27	5.6	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.19)	5.38 ↓ (5.82)	10.07 ↓ (15.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
73.4%

Draw
17.3%

Inverness
9.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Hearts - Inverness Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Reus B. (G) 2. Borchgrevink C. 17. Findlay S. 5. McCart J. (C) 7. Miller C. 22. Magnusson T. 12. Renaud T. 29. Kerjota S. 19. Guendouz S. 74. Mato R. 77. Ba-Sy A.	1. Munro R. (G) 3. Boutin N. 5. Savage R. 6. Devine D. (C) 2. MacLeod C. 8. Mackinnon A. 4. Shinnie G. 16. Duncan R. 7. Allan P. 35. Stewart A. 36. Bavidge A.
Substitutes
23. Altena J. 10. Braga C. . Dhanda Y. 30. Fulton R. (G) 11. Kabore P. 6. McEntee O. 15. McPake J. 16. Spittal B. 21. Wilson J.	19. Bates M. 18. Chalmers J. 20. Kargbo H. 14. Keir M. 11. Longstaff L. 26. MacGregor R. 21. Ross L. (G) 15. Smith K. 17. Sole L.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Kellacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Borchgrevink C. ⚽,
39', Duncan R. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 2)
46', Ba-Sy A. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
52', Mackinnon A. ↓, Sole L. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Duncan R. ⚽, Devine D. (A),
56', 1 - 2, Bavidge A. ⚽, Duncan R. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Mato R. ⚽, Kerjota S. (A),
59', Guendouz S. ↓, Braga C. ↑,
59', Mato R. ↓, McPake J. ↑,
59', Magnusson T. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
66', Devine D. 🟨,
70', Wilson J. 🟨,
78', Duncan R. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Miller C. (Penalty Awarded),
84', 4 - 2, Wilson J. ⚽,
86', Allan P. ↓, Bates M. ↑,
86', Bavidge A. ↓, Kargbo H. ↑,
86', Stewart A. ↓, MacGregor R. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 2, Braga C. ⚽, Borchgrevink C. (A),
90+2', Kerjota S. ↓, Dhanda Y. ↑,
90+4', 6 - 2, Miller C. ⚽, McPake J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 4.

Recent form of Hearts has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Inverness is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hearts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hearts is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:12. (average 2.2:0.9).

Outrights of Scottish League Cup for now

Hearts: 31.48%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Hearts - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.08.26	Hearts - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Benfica - Hearts	6:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.08.26	Aberdeen - Hearts	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	Hearts - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLL
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
08.08.26	Arbroath - Inverness	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Greenock Morton - Inverness	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Inverness - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Linlithgow Rose - Inverness	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Cup
25.07.21	Hearts - Inverness	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
24.04.21	Hearts - Inverness	3:0
26.02.21	Inverness - Hearts	1:1
07.11.20	Hearts - Inverness	2:1
Scottish League Cup
06.10.20	Hearts - Inverness	1:0
Club Friendly
08.07.19	Hearts - Inverness	1:1
Scottish Cup
13.04.19	Hearts - Inverness	3:0

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