Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 20 July 2024, Saturday


	Ipatinga		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	6	3.5	1.5
	6.5	3.75	1.47
	6.81	3.45	1.46
	6.81	3.61	1.51	Watch
	7.07	3.64	1.47
	6.5	3.75	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.62 ↑ (4.93)	3.62 ↑ (3.24)	1.48 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipatinga
13.7%

Draw
25.1%

Portuguesa RJ
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

28.2%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.5%

28.1%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipatinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portuguesa RJ's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipatinga than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Portuguesa RJ, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ipatinga - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Wandinho ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Hernane Brocador ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Portuguesa RJ is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Portuguesa RJ is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ipatinga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipatinga
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Itabuna - Ipatinga	0:0 ✺
06.07.24	Ipatinga - Democrata SL	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Noroeste - Ipatinga	2:0 ✺
22.06.24	Ipatinga - Serra	0:4 ✺
16.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Ipatinga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWLLT
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Portuguesa RJ - Noroeste	3:0 ✺
06.07.24	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
03.07.24	Itabuna - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	Portuguesa RJ - Audax Rio	3:0 ✺
19.06.24	Democrata SL - Portuguesa RJ	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.04.24	Portuguesa RJ - Ipatinga	0:0

Ipatinga - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide