Match Info

Date: 20 September 2022, Tuesday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)


	Ipswich Town		Arsenal U21

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	5
	1.47	4.5	5.2
	1.46	4.5	5.2
	1.49	4.67	5.54
	1.65	4.2	4.2
	1.45	4.55	5.45
	1.47	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.82)	4.42 ↑ (3.6)	5.11 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
61.3%

Draw
20.8%

Arsenal U21
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.4%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.

Arsenal U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal U21 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	10.3%	10.3%

Ipswich Town - Arsenal U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (46 of 58 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.88% – 89.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Arsenal U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ipswich is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ipswich to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
17.09.22	Sheffield Wednesday - Ipswich Town	2:2 ✺
13.09.22	Ipswich Town - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Accrington Stanley - Ipswich Town	0:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Ipswich Town - Northampton Town	6:0 ✺
English League One
27.08.22	Ipswich Town - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWWWT
- Arsenal U21
English Premier League 2
17.09.22	Arsenal U21 - Wolverhampton Wanderers U21	1:1 ✺
03.09.22	Arsenal U21 - Blackburn Rovers U21	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
30.08.22	Cambridge United - Arsenal U21	0:2 ✺
English Premier League 2
26.08.22	Brighton & Hove Albion U21 - Arsenal U21	2:2 ✺
20.08.22	Arsenal U21 - Chelsea U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
01.12.21	Ipswich Town - Arsenal U21	2:3 penalties
08.09.20	Ipswich Town - Arsenal U21	1:2

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