The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 22.5%
Draw 25.9%
Ipswich Town 51.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
27.1%
46%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.9%
28.1%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ipswich Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ipswich Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
6.7%
83.3%
Accrington Stanley - Ipswich Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ipswich Town will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
Accrington has the most likely position - 19 (7.42%), has project points - 52, has currently - 8, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (21.59%), has project points - 88, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a chance of win league (22%).
This event has small quality23, importance41, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 1.
Recent matches Accrington is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ipswich in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recently Accrington have a series of home games.
In this match Ipswich is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.