Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)


	Ipswich Town		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.5	8.75
	1.32	4.5	8.5
	1.3	4.7	8.4
	1.32	4.91	10.67
	1.28	4.9	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.85)	4.7 ↑ (3.24)	9.1 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
70.4%

Draw
19.5%

Northampton Town
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

28%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.8%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.

Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-19.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Northampton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	6.2%	18.7%

Ipswich Town - Northampton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Northampton will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ipswich is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Northampton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ipswich is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League One
27.08.22	Ipswich Town - Barnsley	2:2 ✺
20.08.22	Shrewsbury Town - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
16.08.22	Burton Albion - Ipswich Town	0:1 ✺
13.08.22	Ipswich Town - Milton Keynes Dons	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Ipswich Town - Colchester United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWL
- Northampton Town
English League Two
27.08.22	Northampton Town - Doncaster Rovers	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Crewe Alexandra - Northampton Town	2:2 ✺
16.08.22	Crawley Town - Northampton Town	2:3 ✺
13.08.22	Northampton Town - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.08.22	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
20.04.21	Northampton Town - Ipswich Town	3:0
16.02.21	Ipswich Town - Northampton Town	0:0

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