The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 60.3%
Draw 24%
Barnsley 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49%
27.5%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.4%
27.8%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.
Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barnsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barnsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
2.8%
8.3%
Ipswich Town - Barnsley Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ipswich Town will win
(32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (28.82%), has project points - 90, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a good chance of promoted (57%), has a chance of win league (29%).
Barnsley has the most likely position - 6 (7.65%), has project points - 71, has currently - 6, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (28%), has a small chance of promoted (15%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality33, importance45, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 3.
Ipswich is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Barnsley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Ipswich could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ipswich is certain favorite.
Our prediction for today's Ipswich to win the game is with odds 1.56.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.
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