The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ipswich Town 75.5%
Draw 16.6%
Fleetwood Town 8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.9%
20.6%
12.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.1%
20.2%
12.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.2%
2.7%
35.1%
Ipswich Town - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 23 - 62.2%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 13 - 35.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 46.6% – 77.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 17).
Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (28.43%), has project points - 91, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (41%), has a good chance of promoted (62%), has a chance of win league (28%).
Fleetwood has the most likely position - 17 (8.54%), has project points - 55, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality25, importance43, match rating34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 3.
Ipswich is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Fleetwood is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fleetwood could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Ipswich is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Ipswich won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Ipswich won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
Watch
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