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Current Win Probability
Bristol Rovers 41.3%
Draw 29.3%
Fleetwood Town 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
28%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
27.1%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
The ML Model estimate for Bristol Rovers aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 21.7% – 78.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Young B. (G) 17. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 26. Harbottle R. 2. Senior J. 36. Smallwood R. 6. Mola C. 3. Sparkes J. 7. Forde S. 35. Rijks M. 19. Harrison E.
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 35. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 16. Ennis E. 20. Neal H. 6. Bonds E. (C) 10. Helm M. 22. Powell J. 9. Davies W. 17. Evans C.
Substitutes
10. Akhamrich Y. 29. Cavegn F. 15. De Havilland R. 24. Leigh T. 27. Quigley J. 1. Southwood L. (G) 14. Thompson-Sommers K.
19. Coughlan R. 15. Davies J. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 18. Holgate H. 38. McLean C. 11. Norwood J. 7. Osong D. E.
Coaches
Evans S.
Lawlor M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Rooney S. 🟨,
40', Balmer K. 🟨,
42', Ennis E. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Neal H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mola C. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
53', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
54', Kilgour A. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
54', Rijks M. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Quigley J. ⚽, Sparkes J. (A),
67', Davies W. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
67', Bonds E. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
69', Young B. 🟨,
77', Forde S. 🟨,
83', Evans C. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
83', Forde S. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
84', Lynch J. 🟨,
88', Rooney S. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
90', Leigh T. 🟨,
90+6', Davies J. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
Bristol Rovers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Fleetwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bristol Rovers could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Head Injury)
McCann L.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Coughlan R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Bristol Rovers: 8.17%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Bristol Rovers
10
5
0
5
15:17
-2
15
16
Fleetwood
10
2
5
3
10:11
-1
11
Last Results with these Odds
Fleetwood Town - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.02%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Young B. (G) 
Balmer K. 
Rijks M. 
Harrison E. 
Rooney S. 
Bonds E. (C) 
Akhamrich Y. 
Cavegn F. 
Quigley J. 
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