Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 19

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Exeter)

Referee: Young A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Exeter City		Ipswich Town

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.75
	4.5	3.6	1.73
	4.75	3.85	1.73
	4.3	3.65	1.75
	4.88	3.86	1.75
	4.33	3.7	1.75
	4.5	4.05	1.77	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.95)	3.78 ↑ (3.42)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Exeter City
20.9%

Draw
25%

Ipswich Town
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

27.2%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

26.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Exeter City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	9.7%	71%

Exeter City - Ipswich Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Exeter will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). Ipswich will win (votes: 22 - 71%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 55% – 87%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Exeter has the most likely position - 14 (8.39%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a small chance of relegated (6%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ipswich has the most likely position - 1 (22.75%), has project points - 89, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), has a good chance of promoted (55%), has a chance of win league (23%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 34, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Ipswich is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Exeter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Exeter City
English League One
12.11.22	Exeter City - Peterborough United	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Port Vale - Exeter City	2:3 ✺
English League One
31.10.22	Plymouth Argyle - Exeter City	4:2 ✺
25.10.22	Derby County - Exeter City	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Exeter City - Fleetwood Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLTW
- Ipswich Town
English League One
12.11.22	Ipswich Town - Cheltenham Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
07.11.22	Bracknell Town - Ipswich Town	0:3 ✺
English League One
29.10.22	Charlton Athletic - Ipswich Town	4:4 ✺
25.10.22	Port Vale - Ipswich Town	2:3 ✺
21.10.22	Ipswich Town - Derby County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
04.01.20	Exeter City - Ipswich Town	2:1
English League Cup
14.08.18	Exeter City - Ipswich Town	2:1 penalties

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