Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)


	Ipswich Town		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.45	4.64	6.79	Watch
	1.38	5.23	8
	1.13	7.94	20.30	Watch
	1.46	4.5	6.86	Watch
	1.5	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.5)	5.19 ↑ (4.3)	9.44 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
70.8%

Draw
18.8%

Portsmouth
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.9%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

21.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ipswich Town's performance.

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ipswich Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Ipswich Town - Portsmouth Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Ipswich (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ipswich Town will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Palmer A. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 5. Matusiwa A. 12. Cajuste J. 23. Szmodics S. 8. Egeli S. W. 11. Philogene J. 9. Hirst G.	26. Bursik J. (G) 22. Swanson Z. 4. Knight J. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 16. Le Roux L. 21. Dozzell A. 18. Kosznovszky M. 10. Segecic A. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk 9. Bishop C. (C)
Substitutes
29. Akpom Ch. 31. Azon I. 47. Clarke J. 18. Johnson B. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 14. Taylor J. 28. Walton C. (G) 15. Young A.	11. Bianchini F. 17. Bowat I. 24. Devlin T. 30. Killip B. (G) 25. Kirk M. 14. Matthews H. 7. Pack M. 8. Swift J. 2. Williams J.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Mousinho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Dozzell A. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Philogene J. ⚽, Cajuste J. (A),
33', Le Roux L. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Hirst G. ⚽, Davis L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Segecic A. ↓, Swift J. ↑,
62', Le Roux L. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
65', Egeli S. W. 🟨,
73', Hirst G. ↓, Azon I. ↑,
74', Egeli S. W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
74', Cajuste J. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
74', Philogene J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
74', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
75', Kosznovszky M. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
81', Davis L. ↓, Young A. ↑,
90', Knight J. ↓, Matthews H. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Pack M. ⚽, Swift J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Portsmouth may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ipswich is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Greaves J. (Red Card) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury)

There are questionable in Portsmouth: Shaughnessy C. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
12.09.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield United	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Ipswich Town - Derby County	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Preston North End - Ipswich Town	1:0 ✺
17.08.25	Ipswich Town - Southampton	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Bromley - Ipswich Town	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTLTL
- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
20.09.25	Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Southampton - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Portsmouth - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	West Bromwich Albion - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Portsmouth - Norwich City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.12.22	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:2
English EFL Trophy
22.11.22	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	0:2
English League One
01.10.22	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	3:2
12.03.22	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	0:0
19.10.21	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	0:4
20.03.21	Portsmouth - Ipswich Town	2:1
12.12.20	Ipswich Town - Portsmouth	0:2

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