Match Info

Championship - Round 16

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Portman Road (Ipswich)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Ipswich Town		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.45	4.41	7.29	Watch
	1.55	4.15	6.07
	1.53	4.16	6.12	Watch
	1.49	4.33	7.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	4.25 ↑ (4.13)	6.94 ↑ (6.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ipswich Town
64%

Draw
22.4%

Wrexham
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

22.8%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

22.2%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	14.3%	21.4%

Ipswich Town - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Wrexham will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Wrexham (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Walton C. (G) 19. Furlong D. 26. O'Shea D. (C) 4. Kipre C. 3. Davis L. 14. Taylor J. 5. Matusiwa A. 8. Egeli S. W. 29. Akpom Ch. 11. Philogene J. 31. Azon I.	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. 5. Hyam D. 47. Longman R. 15. Dobson G. 18. Sheaf B. 14. Thomason G. 7. McClean J. (C) 10. Windass J. 28. Smith S.
Substitutes
27. Button D. (G) 12. Cajuste J. 47. Clarke J. 24. Greaves J. 9. Hirst G. 18. Johnson B. 20. McAteer K. 32. Nunez M. 15. Young A.	45. Ashfield H. 29. Barnett R. 33. Broadhead N. 25. Burton C. (G) 6. Coady C. 2. Doyle C. 9. Hardie R. 37. James M. 27. O'Brien L.
Coaches
McKenna K.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Thomason G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Sheaf B. 🟨,
51', Kipre C. 🟨,
61', Thomason G. ↓, O'Brien L. ↑,
61', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
64', Matusiwa A. 🟨,
65', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
65', Philogene J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
70', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
75', Taylor J. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
75', Akpom Ch. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
84', Egeli S. W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
85', Smith S. ↓, Hardie R. ↑,
87', O'Brien L. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 13).

Ipswich is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Wrexham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Ipswich is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Ipswich: Burns W. (Knee Injury) Clarke H. (Knee Injury) Palmer A. (Calf Injury) Szmodics S. (Knee Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Lee E. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There are questionable in Wrexham: Moore K. (Ankle Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ipswich Town
English League Championship
08.11.25	Swansea City - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
04.11.25	Ipswich Town - Watford	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Queens Park Rangers - Ipswich Town	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Ipswich Town - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
21.10.25	Ipswich Town - Charlton Athletic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWWL
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
08.11.25	Wrexham - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Portsmouth - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Wrexham - Coventry City	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Wrexham - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
25.10.25	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWLT

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