Match Info

Championship - Round 14

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Fratton Park (Portsmouth)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
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Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hungary	Match 4
Iceland	Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1, Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Malaysia	Astro Football
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Turkey	Exxen
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Portsmouth		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.05	2.82	Watch
	2.56	3.15	2.9	Watch
	2.63	3.22	2.96
	2.24	3.47	3.10	Watch
	2.56	3.1	2.78	Watch
	2.55	3.2	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.24)	3.2 ↓ (3.47)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portsmouth
37.8%

Draw
29.6%

Wrexham
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

27.3%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	26.7%	60%

Portsmouth - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Wrexham will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Wrexham (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Portsmouth (4.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Portsmouth (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Portsmouth (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wrexham (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bursik J. (G) 17. Bowat I. 4. Knight J. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 24. Devlin T. 16. Le Roux L. 36. Chaplin C. 21. Dozzell A. 23. Murphy J. 9. Bishop C. (C)	1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. 5. Hyam D. (C) 12. Kabore I. 18. Sheaf B. 37. James M. 13. Cacace L. 27. O'Brien L. 19. Moore K. 10. Windass J.
Substitutes
11. Bianchini F. 30. Killip B. (G) 25. Kirk M. 14. Matthews H. 7. Pack M. 22. Swanson Z. 8. Swift J. 2. Williams J. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk	29. Barnett R. 33. Broadhead N. 25. Burton C. (G) 15. Dobson G. 2. Doyle C. 9. Hardie R. 47. Longman R. 28. Smith S. 14. Thomason G.
Coaches
Mousinho J.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Dozzell A. 🟨,
27', Ogilvie C. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
41', Sheaf B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Sheaf B. ↓, Dobson G. ↑,
69', Kabore I. 🟨,
73', Bishop C. 🟨,
73', Scarr D. 🟨,
77', O'Brien L. ↓, Thomason G. ↑,
77', Windass J. ↓, Broadhead N. ↑,
77', Devlin T. ↓, Swanson Z. ↑,
86', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
90', Le Roux L. ↓, Pack M. ↑,
90+3', Murphy J. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 and 16).

Portsmouth has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wrexham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Wrexham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Portsmouth: Blair H. (Hamstring Injury) Farrell J. (Groin Injury) Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Segecic A. (Ankle Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Umeh F. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Wrexham: Ashfield H. (Ankle Injury) Brunt L. (Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Lee E. (Inactive) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Portsmouth - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portsmouth FC
English League Championship
01.11.25	Birmingham City - Portsmouth	4:0 ✺
25.10.25	Portsmouth - Stoke City	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Portsmouth - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Leicester City - Portsmouth	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Portsmouth - Middlesbrough	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLTW
- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
31.10.25	Wrexham - Coventry City	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Wrexham - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
English League Championship
25.10.25	Middlesbrough - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Wrexham - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Stoke City - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTWL

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