Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Sergio León Chavez (Irapuato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Irapuato		Dorados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.4	4.65	6.3	Watch
	1.42	4.59	7.54
	1.4	4.79	7.02	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.4	4.25	6.65	Watch
	1.36	4.25	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.33)	4.51 ↓ (4.95)	6.92 ↓ (7.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
66.3%

Draw
20.4%

Dorados
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

18.5%

12.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

16.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Irapuato - Dorados Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 32. Castellanos R. 5. Elbis 28. Gamboa J. 33. Gonzalez R. 10. Rangel J. 34. Ruiz J. 36. Salazar J. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R. 9. Vasquez Velasquez L. S.	30. Vaal J. (G) 18. Cervantes S. 12. Egana A. 6. Guajardo D. 3. Manriquez S. 16. Martinez D. 23. Reyes J. (C) 27. Sanchez E. 28. Suarez L. 33. Vazquez O. 2. Yanez S.
Substitutes
8. Cruz C. 2. Doldan J. 29. Gutierrez L. 1. Magana G. (G) 13. Martinez R. 11. Partida E. 31. Pena R. 4. Rivera M. 24. Rodriguez A. 26. Santillan E.	7. Alvarez J. 13. Barrera G. (G) 29. Coronel O. 8. Galicia C. 11. Garcia L. . Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 4. Ruiz L.
Coaches
Alcantar D.	Ramirez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Sanchez E. 🟨,
30', Egana A. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
53', Suarez L. ↓, Osuna D. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Castellanos R. ⚽, Rangel J. (A),
58', Vazquez O. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
58', Yanez S. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
60', Guajardo D. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽, Gonzalez R. (A),
64', Egana A. ↓, Ruiz L. ↑,
64', Cervantes S. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
65', Sandoval R. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Osuna D. (Own goal),
72', Salazar J. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
72', Gonzalez R. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
83', Rangel J. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Doldan J. ⚽, Partida E. (A),
86', 5 - 0, Gamboa J. ⚽, Doldan J. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Irapuato is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.02.26	Jaiba Brava - Irapuato	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Tlaxcala - Irapuato	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Irapuato - Leones Negros UdeG	4:1 ✺
09.01.26	Venados - Irapuato	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.12.25	Irapuato - Chivas Guadalajara	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL
- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.02.26	Dorados - Atlético La Paz	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Venados - Dorados	4:4 ✺
16.01.26	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cancún - Dorados	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
05.09.25	Dorados - Irapuato	0:1
03.04.15	Irapuato - Dorados	0:0
Copa Mexico
17.02.15	Dorados - Irapuato	3:0
04.02.15	Irapuato - Dorados	0:0
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.10.14	Dorados - Irapuato	0:1
16.02.13	Irapuato - Dorados	0:0
01.09.12	Dorados - Irapuato	1:1

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