Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Venados		Dorados

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.75	4
	1.60	3.95	4.40	Watch
	1.77	4.08	4.22
	1.6	4.27	4.87	Watch
	1.74	3.95	4.15
	1.70	3.82	4.00	Watch
	1.74	3.75	3.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.49)	3.94 ↓ (4.33)	4.22 ↓ (5.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados
54.7%

Draw
23.4%

Dorados
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

21.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Venados's form might have worsened.

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Venados - Dorados Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Castellanos R. (G) 31. Dominguez I. 13. Ochoa Brandon 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 14. Montiel S. 18. Amador K. 10. Dominguez A. (C) 11. Tejeda D. 30. Torres M. 7. Reyes J. 29. Lora S.	21. Castro J. (G) 20. Osuna D. 4. Franco R. 26. Gutierrez E. (C) 5. Flores A. 17. Pena F. 23. Sanchez B. 11. Contreras F. 18. Cervantes S. 13. Padilla G. 9. Rengifo J.
Substitutes
32. Aguilar M. 27. Benitez S. 20. Cruz J. 1. Gonzalez C. (G) 8. Kilani P. 9. Lazarte L. 16. Macias L. 22. Montelongo M. 34. Saucedo S. 6. Torres E.	15. Castillo C. 29. Coronel O. 12. Egana A. 34. Flores I. (G) 8. Galicia C. 3. Garcia D. 22. Gonzalez Rodriguez W. 6. Guajardo D. 28. Ordorica B. 10. Vargas L.
Coaches
Castro N.	Orozco L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Lora S. ⚽, Tejeda D. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Flores A. ⚽, Sanchez B. (A),
27', Franco R. 🟨,
37', 2 - 1, Lora S. ⚽, Tejeda D. (A),
41', 2 - 2, Sanchez B. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sanchez B. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
59', Cervantes S. ↓, Ordorica B. ↑,
59', Contreras F. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
60', Franco R. 🟥,
63', Padilla G. ↓, Gonzalez Rodriguez W. ↑,
65', Ochoa Brandon ↓, Kilani P. ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Lora S. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
76', Amador K. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
78', Pena F. ↓, Vargas L. ↑,
84', Tejeda D. ↓, Macias L. ↑,
85', Lora S. ↓, Lazarte L. ↑,
85', Reyes J. ↓, Montelongo M. ↑,
90', 4 - 2, Macias L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 2.

In this match, Venados is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:31. (average 1.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
14.08.26	Mineros de Zacatecas - Venados	5:1 ✺
08.08.26	Venados - Tapatío	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Cruz Azul Hidalgo - Venados	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Venados - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Tlaxcala - Venados	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTWT
- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.08.26	Dorados - Tlaxcala	2:2 ✺
06.08.26	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:2 ✺
30.07.26	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Dorados - Tapatío	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Tlaxcala - Dorados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.01.26	Venados - Dorados	4:4
16.08.25	Dorados - Venados	1:0
05.04.25	Dorados - Venados	3:1
18.10.24	Venados - Dorados	4:0
31.01.24	Dorados - Venados	2:3
15.10.23	Venados - Dorados	4:1
11.04.23	Dorados - Venados	0:5

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