Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sergio León Chavez (Irapuato)

Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Irapuato		Leones Negros UdeG

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.45	3.9	Watch
	1.93	3.57	3.76
	1.75	3.4	3.9
	1.78	3.68	4.26	Watch
	1.77	3.5	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.92 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irapuato
50.6%

Draw
26%

Leones Negros UdeG
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irapuato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Irapuato - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Irapuato will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (G) 3. Alvarado V. 32. Castellanos R. 2. Doldan J. 5. Elbis 33. Gonzalez R. 31. Pena R. 10. Rangel J. 34. Ruiz J. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R.	30. Lopez F. (G) 10. Brigido J. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 20. Flores B. 3. Flores L. 88. Gonzalez O. 93. Lara M. 13. Lopez R. 18. Munoz D. 11. Perez J. 2. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
6. del Angel E. 28. Gamboa J. 29. Gutierrez L. 1. Magana G. (G) 13. Martinez R. 37. Martinez S. 11. Partida E. 36. Salazar J. 26. Santillan E. 7. Sosa J.	24. Aguayo J. 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 85. Hernandez A. 82. Meza U. 100. Morales F. 7. Rivera E. 86. Torres D. 5. Torres U. 87. Valenzuela M. 98. Venegas S. (G)
Coaches
Alcantar D.	Sosa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Munoz D. ⚽,
6', Elbis 🟨,
18', Lara M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 1, Castellanos R. ⚽, Sandoval R. (A),
37', Munoz D. ↓, Rivera E. ↑,
44', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
51', 3 - 1, Gonzalez R. ⚽, Sandoval R. (A),
59', Sanchez J. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,
60', Lara M. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
61', Aguayo J. 🟨,
64', Sanchez B. 🟨,
72', Gonzalez R. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
72', Doldan J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
75', Rangel J. ↓, Gamboa J. ↑,
77', Flores L. ↓, Morales F. ↑,
77', Flores B. ↓, Torres U. ↑,
83', Sanchez B. ↓, Partida E. ↑,
83', Sandoval R. ↓, del Angel E. ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Partida E. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Irapuato is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Irapuato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Leones Negros	11	7	2	2	27:16	11	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.01.26	Venados - Irapuato	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.12.25	Irapuato - Chivas Guadalajara	0:4 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.12.25	Jaiba Brava - Irapuato	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Irapuato - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Irapuato - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTT
- Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.01.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.01.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Monterrey	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Club León - Leones Negros UdeG	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG	4:1 ✺
13.11.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.08.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato	4:2
20.04.13	Irapuato - Leones Negros UdeG	0:1
02.11.12	Leones Negros UdeG - Irapuato	1:1

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