Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Dorados (Culiacán)

Referee: Martinez E. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Dorados		Tepatitlán de Morelos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.26	3.37	2.24
	2.99	3.37	2.31	Watch
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.12	3.16	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.14	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.41)	3.27 ↓ (3.42)	2.18 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorados
29.8%

Draw
28.1%

Tepatitlán de Morelos
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26.7%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Barrera G. (G) 5. Flores A. 11. Garcia L. 6. Guajardo D. 20. Osuna D. 9. Rengifo J. 23. Reyes J. (C) 4. Ruiz L. 27. Sanchez E. 10. Vargas L. 33. Vazquez O.	1. Gutierrez G. (C) 22. Aguilar D. 24. Cardona U. 26. Dominguez I. 7. Escoto A. 19. Islas O. 2. Pinela M. 11. Reyes J. 6. Ruiz A. 20. Samano L. 23. Venegas J.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez J. 18. Cervantes S. 12. Egana A. 8. Galicia C. 3. Manriquez S. 16. Martinez D. 28. Suarez L. 30. Vaal J. (G) 2. Yanez S.	18. Gomez J. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 13. Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 5. Gonzalez K. 10. Guzman W. 29. Mendoza B. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 8. Samano Salgado F. 30. Talavera J.
Coaches
Ramirez F.	Pereyra G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Islas O. 🟨,
40', Dominguez I. 🟨,
41', Ramirez F. 🟨,
45', Flores A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garcia L. ↓, Cervantes S. ↑,
58', Vazquez O. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
59', Rengifo J. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
59', Escoto A. ↓, Mendoza B. ↑,
65', Flores A. ↓, Manriquez S. ↑,
69', Aguilar D. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
69', Islas O. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
71', Osuna D. ↓, Galicia C. ↑,
84', Samano L. ↓, Guzman W. ↑,
84', Reyes J. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
88', Cardona U. 🟨,
90', Sanchez E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 1.

Tepatitlán is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Dorados de Sinaloa	11	3	4	4	20:20	0	13
16	Tepatitlan de Morelos	10	2	0	8	8:29	-21	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.01.26	Venados - Dorados	4:4 ✺
16.01.26	Dorados - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cancún - Dorados	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Tapatío - Dorados	4:1 ✺
25.10.25	Dorados - Tlaxcala	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TWLLT
- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tapatío	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
20.11.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	3:0
15.03.25	Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0
27.09.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	1:1
11.01.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	2:0
09.09.23	Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:2
01.03.23	Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:1
26.06.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	2:0

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