Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos Iturralde Rivero (Mérida)

Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)


	Venados		Irapuato

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.98	Watch
	2.19	3.66	3	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.14	3.24	3.39	Watch
	2.1	3.33	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.42)	3.35 ↓ (3.55)	3.09 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Venados
42.9%

Draw
27.4%

Irapuato
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

25.8%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Irapuato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Venados - Irapuato Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Venados will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Irapuato will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Venados (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Delgado A. (G) 18. Amador K. 7. Calero J. 2. Casillas J. 10. Dominguez A. 4. Grijalva A. 5. Lanchi 29. Lora S. 17. Martinez J. 15. Navarrete D. 25. Trejo Castro M. A. (C)	20. Hernandez H. (C) 3. Alvarado V. 32. Castellanos R. 6. del Angel E. 11. Partida E. 31. Pena R. 10. Rangel J. 34. Ruiz J. 25. Sanchez B. 16. Sandoval R. 19. Santana C.
Substitutes
19. Ballesteros O. 143. Benitez S. 20. Cruz J. 16. Espinosa E. 23. Galvan P. 3. Levin J. 21. Lopez C. 27. Ramirez S. (G) 24. Salcido J. 30. Torres Sauri M.	21. Chacon J. 2. Doldan J. 33. Gonzalez R. 29. Gutierrez L. 1. Magana G. (G) 27. Martinez G. 37. Martinez S. 22. Munoz G. 26. Santillan E. 7. Sosa J.
Coaches
Garcia I. C.	Alcantar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Castellanos R. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Lora S. ⚽, Dominguez A. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Navarrete D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Santana C. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Rangel J. ⚽, Partida E. (A),
62', Amador K. 🟨,
64', Martinez J. 🟨,
68', Navarrete D. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
68', Partida E. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
68', del Angel E. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
70', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
72', 3 - 1, Calero J. ⚽,
79', Martinez J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
84', Lora S. ↓, Espinosa E. ↑,
87', 4 - 1, Ballesteros O. ⚽,
87', Sanchez B. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
87', Rangel J. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Irapuato is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Venados won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Venados	11	6	1	4	26:21	5	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venados FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.11.25	Venados - Tlaxcala	5:1 ✺
02.11.25	Leones Negros UdeG - Venados	1:0 ✺
23.10.25	Venados - Jaiba Brava	1:1 ✺
18.10.25	Atlante - Venados	3:0 ✺
10.10.25	Venados - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTLW
- Irapuato
Club Friendly
28.12.25	Irapuato - Chivas Guadalajara	0:4 ✺
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
06.12.25	Jaiba Brava - Irapuato	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Irapuato - Jaiba Brava	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Irapuato - Atlético Morelia	1:1 ✺
19.11.25	Atlético Morelia - Irapuato	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.08.25	Irapuato - Venados	4:1

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