The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jaiba Brava 60.1%
Draw 22.6%
Leones Negros UdeG 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.8%
27.6%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
26.5%
24.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaiba Brava's performance.
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros UdeG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
0%
20%
Jaiba Brava - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Jaiba Brava will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 20%).
13. Ruiz G. (G) 22. Clemente J. 23. Escoboza A. 28. Flores S. (C) 3. Garcia D. 2. Gonzalez C. 29. Pedroza M. 26. Perez E. 25. Perez O. 4. Rios A. 8. Torres E.
30. Lopez F. (G) 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 8. Fierro C. 88. Gonzalez O. 4. Ledesma A. (C) 13. Lopez R. 82. Meza U. 18. Munoz D. 7. Rivera E. 2. Sanchez J. 5. Torres U.
Substitutes
14. Corona N. 6. Garcia E. 1. Garcia J. (G) 33. Gonzalez R. 24. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 7. Magana D. 19. Martinez F. 21. Peralta J. 30. Ramos Saucedo S. 10. Soto O.
24. Aguayo J. 10. Brigido J. 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 83. Escalante J. 3. Flores L. 85. Hernandez A. 11. Perez J. 86. Torres D. 87. Valenzuela M.
Coaches
Ruiz M.
Sosa L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', Meza U. 🟥,
23', 0 - 1, Munoz D. ⚽, De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Perez E. ⚽, Gonzalez C. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Perez O. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
33', Pedroza M. 🟨,
34', Sanchez J. 🟨,
42', Perez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Torres U. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
46', Rivera E. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Pedroza M. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Escoboza A. (A),
59', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
59', Fierro C. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
59', Pedroza M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
66', Escoboza A. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
66', Gonzalez C. ↓, Lopez Gonzalez J. A. ↑,
67', Flores S. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
70', Gonzalez O. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
70', Perez E. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 3.
Jaiba Brava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leones Negros UdeG is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Leones Negros UdeG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Jaiba Brava is considered a favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 2:1).
Argentina
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
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Ruiz G. (G) 
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